@Derehgk

#2,159,21414

0xce1aac168aaa09d4c26fc151320c38c400db3945

~16d· 25 markets · 40 tradesVol: $9,1572026-08-05 17:08:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (10/20)10/20
0.97x (win $65 / loss $68)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3730/15
Sortino -0.5470/10
$-0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5257 (20 markets)0/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 204% of peak ($30 / $15)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,294,523$-11Vol: $5,901
📈 ECONOMICS#87,636$2Vol: $2,500
⚽ SPORTS#1,529,214$-31Vol: $685
🎭 CULTURE#59,006$14Vol: $44
💰 FINANCE#82,374$4Vol: $21
₿ CRYPTO#974,737$-3Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
28B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $2,739
Month
$3
Vol: $2,739
All Time
$-25
Vol: $9,157

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
10W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-28
Win Rate
50%
10W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (1.2890090090090092% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will John Curtis win the Utah Republican Primary?$15
Will Stancil wins Minnesota House Democratic Primary?$11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$7
Hornets vs. Magic$4
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$4
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$3
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1
Will Liz Cheney endorse Kamala Harris?$1

Top Losers

Will Mexico win?$-20
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$-15
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-11
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$-7
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$-4
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-4
Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
12.3%
Half-Kelly
6.2%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
25.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
38s
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.45
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)60.7%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 7:47:03 PM13 trades$2,7781 min
7/22/2026, 11:12:33 AM2 trades$2,2700 min
2/14/2026, 1:21:19 PM2 trades$1,2281 min
2/17/2026, 6:33:41 PM1 trades$1,2250 min
6/15/2024, 2:53:28 PM2 trades$4562 min
6/26/2024, 5:35:12 PM3 trades$3311 min
11/12/2024, 8:45:31 PM3 trades$721 min
11/14/2024, 9:01:59 AM1 trades$430 min
9/2/2024, 1:28:34 PM3 trades$260 min
2/20/2025, 8:15:31 AM1 trades$230 min
1/9/2025, 12:48:35 AM1 trades$150 min
5/21/2026, 2:08:33 AM1 trades$120 min
9/30/2025, 7:49:15 PM2 trades$90 min
5/19/2026, 4:23:40 PM2 trades$83 min
6/30/2025, 1:29:36 PM2 trades$80 min
9/9/2024, 7:11:11 PM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
09-02
11-12
01-09
06-30
02-14
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 380 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.1 / M32.1 / H60.7