@Descubra

#39,09648

0x93dd5294fbf8c35190c4616ecc63d9cf88e34ed5

~50d· 868 markets · 3633 tradesVol: $490,3062026-08-05 02:08:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

4% (34/868)0/20
1.20x (win $2,415 / loss $2,014)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91015/15
Sortino 4.24510/10
$+0.1988 per $1 invested9.9/10
HHI 1090 (868 markets)7.1/10
14/50 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($365 / $563)1/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,888
Lottery Player
100% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#697$2,895Vol: $490,306

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,895
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$490,306
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
868
total markets
Trades
3427B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $308
Week
$-135
Vol: $20,817
Month
$218
Vol: $30,881
All Time
$2,895
Vol: $490,306

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
4%
34W / 834L events
Realized PnL
$2,888
Win Rate
4%
34W / 834L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $776 (0.2687695850141098% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?$333
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?$282
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?$162
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 16?$144
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?$129
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?$120
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$112
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?$107
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?$107
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?$102

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4?$-25
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 25?$-20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on July 13?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 29?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 11?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 9?$-15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.246
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.199
Kelly %
0.6%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
68.5
Very active
Markets / Day
16.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 181s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock69 trades/day — mass trading16 markets/day — mass coverage94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)100%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:56:16 PM9 trades$3,0000 min
7/24/2026, 6:19:06 AM3 trades$6410 min
7/19/2026, 3:58:16 PM4 trades$3000 min
7/12/2026, 5:44:23 AM4 trades$2433 min
7/9/2026, 3:13:20 PM4 trades$2050 min
8/1/2026, 1:36:36 PM8 trades$2041 min
7/7/2026, 8:15:08 AM5 trades$1316 min
6/27/2026, 5:14:34 AM6 trades$1300 min
7/29/2026, 4:10:38 PM2 trades$1250 min
8/2/2026, 10:25:09 PM10 trades$1230 min
7/21/2026, 7:04:52 PM6 trades$1190 min
6/17/2026, 8:20:52 AM12 trades$11119 min
7/10/2026, 5:45:29 AM3 trades$1050 min
7/7/2026, 11:13:17 PM3 trades$1001 min
6/19/2026, 1:13:16 PM3 trades$1004 min
8/2/2026, 11:17:27 PM2 trades$930 min
8/3/2026, 12:53:14 AM4 trades$820 min
7/25/2026, 7:30:03 AM3 trades$810 min
6/19/2026, 7:52:59 AM22 trades$8030 min
7/26/2026, 9:03:46 AM4 trades$760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-21
06-29
07-08
07-18
07-26
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L100 / M0 / H0