@DogFacedPonyMarket

#111,40020

0x86d3722904ff990e44f1f3089a7948535538da78

~98d· 548 markets · 7571 tradesVol: $150,5052026-08-04 16:21:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (199/541)3.4/20
1.00x (win $4,112 / loss $4,110)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0040.1/15
Sortino 0.0050.1/10
$+0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 99 (541 markets)10/10
40/90 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 271% of peak ($863 / $318)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+544
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#2,104$683Vol: $135,323
₿ CRYPTO#1,505,571$-140Vol: $10,076
⚽ SPORTS#418,617$1Vol: $3,746
🏛️ POLITICS#1,245,665$-9Vol: $990
📈 ECONOMICS#380,306$-0Vol: $11
📢 MENTIONS#93,722$-2Vol: $8
💰 FINANCE#183,903$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$544
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,505
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
548
total markets
Trades
3732B / 3839S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $193
Week
$68
Vol: $9,242
Month
$513
Vol: $14,440
All Time
$544
Vol: $150,505

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
199W / 342L events
Realized PnL
$544
Win Rate
37%
199W / 342L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,280 (2.3517008302108584% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?$498
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?$431
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?$352
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?$319
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?$280
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?$157
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?$142
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?$117
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 3?$116
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?$112

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?$-308
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 26?$-204
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?$-180
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 16?$-169
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 21?$-153
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 21?$-130
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 17?$-127
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 26?$-125
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 16?$-116
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$-101

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
56.9
Very active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading4.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)40%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 4:59:20 PM52 trades$1,18326 min
5/16/2026, 8:17:58 PM256 trades$962123 min
7/18/2026, 4:08:42 PM39 trades$6335 min
7/17/2026, 11:23:49 PM43 trades$58218 min
7/21/2026, 6:52:06 AM61 trades$55526 min
7/17/2026, 11:46:58 PM33 trades$5448 min
7/26/2026, 7:51:48 AM78 trades$48728 min
7/21/2026, 6:15:51 AM54 trades$47621 min
7/21/2026, 7:21:24 PM9 trades$3443 min
6/12/2026, 9:33:19 PM16 trades$3420 min
7/18/2026, 4:33:31 AM50 trades$33614 min
6/21/2026, 10:26:37 PM2 trades$3160 min
5/4/2026, 5:33:14 AM2 trades$3110 min
7/25/2026, 1:55:22 AM38 trades$3099 min
5/16/2026, 11:02:03 PM29 trades$30019 min
7/18/2026, 5:07:58 AM25 trades$29810 min
7/19/2026, 8:29:12 PM52 trades$29325 min
7/21/2026, 7:57:55 PM10 trades$2771 min
4/26/2026, 10:41:32 PM16 trades$26511 min
7/25/2026, 1:40:22 AM27 trades$2514 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
04-02
04-28
05-13
06-17
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.11/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.8 / M25.2 / H40