@Donegan
#816,571290x9c2e838f5bc163dcb6b772ef7d768cfd5d0d77e6
~13d· 18 markets · 75 tradesVol: $25,7552026-08-04 22:39:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (9/15)15/20
0.47x (win $218 / loss $462)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2080/15
Sortino -5.3540/10
$-0.0408 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1036 (15 markets)7.3/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 320% of peak ($355 / $111)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+0
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#113,644$30Vol: $22,168
⚽ SPORTS#1,521,569$-30Vol: $3,587
Overview
#1Net PnL
$0
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,755
Total Redeem
$988
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
45B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
Periods
#2Month
$18
Vol: $7,300
All Time
$0
Vol: $25,755
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
9W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$0
Win Rate
60%
9W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-77
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $120 (705.2941176470587% of PnL)
Top Winners
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$62
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?$31
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)$27
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$21
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)$20
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$20
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$19
Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)$14
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$3
Top Losers
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?$-181
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$-93
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?$-81
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)$-80
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)$-26
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.257
Sortino
-0.263
HHI
950
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
60.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
47.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
59%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2844s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)59% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)60%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 4:42:12 AM3 trades$9200 min
7/16/2026, 8:02:35 AM3 trades$8800 min
5/9/2026, 3:25:42 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/16/2026, 6:39:38 AM3 trades$8700 min
6/28/2026, 5:01:28 AM4 trades$8100 min
6/17/2026, 7:20:47 AM4 trades$6200 min
5/7/2026, 2:53:26 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/7/2026, 4:50:04 AM2 trades$4780 min
5/7/2026, 4:38:41 AM2 trades$4682 min
5/10/2026, 6:33:07 AM2 trades$4660 min
5/10/2026, 5:18:38 AM2 trades$4650 min
5/10/2026, 6:20:43 AM1 trades$4520 min
4/15/2026, 8:42:26 AM3 trades$3994 min
4/11/2026, 3:01:25 AM2 trades$3560 min
4/12/2026, 2:48:41 AM2 trades$3490 min
4/16/2026, 5:49:36 AM2 trades$3410 min
4/27/2026, 7:36:56 AM2 trades$3360 min
4/12/2026, 5:11:59 AM1 trades$3310 min
4/11/2026, 7:57:49 AM2 trades$3300 min
4/27/2026, 5:43:08 AM2 trades$3240 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-15
04-16
04-27
05-07
05-09
05-10
06-17
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L40 / M0 / H60