@Douglas.s.1
#451,128590xf60dedc9d7104690c84462d425686d72d1495fbf
~48d· 223 markets · 1211 tradesVol: $11,4202026-08-05 17:40:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (81/212)4.1/20
1.35x (win $602 / loss $445)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.63315/15
Sortino 6.63310/10
$+0.1043 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 389 (212 markets)10/10
17/43 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($109 / $266)5.8/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+15
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#97,802$42Vol: $4,482
₿ CRYPTO#1,195,930$-13Vol: $2,923
💻 TECH#223,931$-8Vol: $1,740
⚽ SPORTS#291,429$9Vol: $1,483
🎭 CULTURE#704,786$-13Vol: $642
💰 FINANCE#106,011$2Vol: $71
Overview
#1Net PnL
$15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,420
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
223
total markets
Trades
566B / 645S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$15
Vol: $11,420
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
81W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$15
Win Rate
38%
81W / 131L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $310 (21.014246947082768% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$125
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$118
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$66
Spurs vs. Knicks$55
Knicks vs. Spurs$48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$13
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$6
Top Losers
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-30
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-24
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$-24
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-14
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$-12
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-11
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
0.339
HHI
494
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
38.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
22.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 231s — normal for humanCV 3.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.03
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)27.4%
High (>55c)61.3%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 6:55:19 AM53 trades$68925 min
6/23/2026, 10:07:46 AM5 trades$5250 min
6/25/2026, 8:51:58 PM1 trades$1520 min
6/24/2026, 8:08:08 PM5 trades$1460 min
6/10/2026, 8:35:31 AM52 trades$14045 min
6/8/2026, 2:43:37 AM4 trades$1180 min
7/2/2026, 10:53:01 PM3 trades$1060 min
6/15/2026, 5:06:24 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/2/2026, 10:30:04 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/16/2026, 3:58:49 AM8 trades$952 min
7/20/2026, 12:46:21 AM2 trades$910 min
6/13/2026, 7:25:28 AM11 trades$917 min
6/22/2026, 12:04:08 PM5 trades$863 min
6/11/2026, 2:14:24 AM2 trades$630 min
6/24/2026, 9:23:17 PM16 trades$613 min
6/13/2026, 3:17:01 AM25 trades$6020 min
6/10/2026, 2:50:15 PM3 trades$550 min
6/11/2026, 3:21:36 AM16 trades$539 min
7/1/2026, 1:37:41 PM5 trades$440 min
6/13/2026, 7:47:03 AM28 trades$4313 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-16
06-23
06-30
07-09
07-20
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M27.4 / H61.3