@Downton
#654,518660xd71f059acc472972700e6a619174a02f5d8e7e60
~13d· 20 markets · 79 tradesVol: $24,1892026-08-05 17:29:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (10/14)20/20
1.11x (win $291 / loss $262)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.84515/15
Sortino 1.07010/10
$+0.0047 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 981 (14 markets)7.6/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($151 / $166)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+2
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#108,589$33Vol: $20,156
⚽ SPORTS#1,529,275$-31Vol: $4,033
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,189
Total Redeem
$766
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
49B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
Periods
#2Week
$18
Vol: $3,680
Month
$18
Vol: $3,680
All Time
$2
Vol: $24,189
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
10W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$2
Win Rate
71%
10W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-66
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $163 (78.32692307692308% of PnL)
Top Winners
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$61
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)$56
Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)$46
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$40
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$32
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)$26
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$18
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)$7
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30$5
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$1
Top Losers
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$-83
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?$-72
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)$-69
Spread: Ceramica Cleopatra Club (-1.5)$-39
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.056
HHI
829
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
54.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 830s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)55.1%
Sessions
#125/8/2026, 6:52:44 AM4 trades$9400 min
8/4/2026, 5:40:09 AM5 trades$9300 min
7/2/2026, 7:13:10 AM4 trades$9001 min
7/2/2026, 9:37:29 AM4 trades$8901 min
7/18/2026, 2:06:51 AM3 trades$8900 min
4/12/2026, 5:31:41 AM6 trades$7080 min
6/18/2026, 5:38:44 AM4 trades$6001 min
5/6/2026, 9:54:00 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/9/2026, 5:07:58 AM2 trades$4600 min
5/9/2026, 6:31:25 AM2 trades$4600 min
5/9/2026, 6:53:12 AM2 trades$4600 min
4/27/2026, 8:10:14 AM2 trades$4580 min
5/7/2026, 3:11:25 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/7/2026, 5:13:40 AM2 trades$4490 min
4/27/2026, 6:15:42 AM2 trades$4400 min
5/7/2026, 4:59:50 AM1 trades$4400 min
4/27/2026, 6:47:00 AM2 trades$4352 min
4/13/2026, 4:47:13 AM1 trades$3090 min
4/13/2026, 5:39:19 AM1 trades$3090 min
4/12/2026, 6:19:37 AM2 trades$3090 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-14
04-27
05-05
05-06
05-07
05-08
05-09
06-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.9 / M0 / H55.1