
@ELIENMUSK
#3,066,851110xc52c1facd881f01286c60fcdd5b72e5b57f16732
~144d· 567 markets · 5947 tradesVol: $5,537,0522026-08-05 01:00:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (84/567)0/20
0.86x (win $74,799 / loss $87,276)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0670/15
Sortino -1.5070/10
$-0.0936 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 148 (567 markets)10/10
29/136 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 328% of peak ($22,851 / $6,964)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
95% entries < $0.20
Whale
$133,252 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,674,824$-14,302Vol: $5,107,416
🎭 CULTURE#4,156$1,331Vol: $301,927
⚽ SPORTS#1,875,988$-8,263Vol: $98,885
💰 FINANCE#4,672$868Vol: $13,021
🏛️ POLITICS#1,550,834$-160Vol: $7,394
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-19,474
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,537,052
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
567
total markets
Trades
3457B / 2490S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~144d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
84W / 483L events
Realized PnL
$-19,474
Win Rate
15%
84W / 483L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$890
Avg Loss
$-181
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,503 (0.8474041362311772% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?$6,275
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?$5,311
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?$4,916
Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?$4,621
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?$3,618
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$3,285
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$3,141
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$3,080
Ethereum Up or Down on November 12?$3,080
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET$2,931
Top Losers
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$-4,505
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?$-3,249
Ethereum Up or Down on November 14?$-2,448
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 26?$-2,356
Ethereum Up or Down on November 21?$-2,031
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11?$-1,743
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?$-1,740
Ethereum Up or Down on November 15?$-1,660
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 23?$-1,625
Solana Up or Down on November 4?$-1,500
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.077
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
12.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
53s
between trades
Avg Gap
42.2m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.4
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 53s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.49
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)95.3%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)0.3%
Sessions
#124/3/2026, 8:54:01 AM18 trades$18,3998 min
5/11/2026, 1:25:23 PM57 trades$18,34414 min
6/30/2026, 8:46:37 PM37 trades$16,8975 min
7/1/2026, 8:24:16 AM42 trades$16,1200 min
6/19/2026, 12:25:20 PM19 trades$12,29810 min
5/12/2026, 9:28:56 AM56 trades$11,6406 min
6/22/2026, 9:55:28 AM46 trades$10,2495 min
6/18/2026, 3:20:37 PM33 trades$10,21522 min
5/18/2026, 5:45:43 AM26 trades$8,9674 min
5/13/2026, 3:38:26 PM28 trades$8,2854 min
5/13/2026, 2:35:18 PM17 trades$8,2221 min
4/27/2026, 10:04:32 AM37 trades$8,1774 min
6/19/2026, 10:02:59 AM30 trades$7,5281 min
5/8/2026, 5:54:48 AM56 trades$6,6352 min
12/2/2025, 3:04:58 PM15 trades$5,5794 min
5/8/2026, 10:34:04 AM28 trades$5,5363 min
11/5/2025, 5:04:29 PM1 trades$5,4730 min
5/13/2026, 9:25:50 AM31 trades$5,4649 min
4/23/2026, 10:40:26 PM26 trades$5,4274 min
5/13/2026, 11:08:09 AM79 trades$5,3609 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-20
12-14
02-10
03-16
05-11
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.3 / M4.3 / H0.3