@ERA84
#2,621,76900x1f99e6a9a9c64ca5076917018cf2dbb06654ee76
~61d· 127 markets · 605 tradesVol: $50,0322026-08-05 17:24:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
14% (18/127)0/20
0.47x (win $301 / loss $635)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0500/15
Sortino -5.2140/10
$-0.3657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5762 (127 markets)0/10
10/56 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 2143% of peak ($350 / $16)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#760,405$-47Vol: $26,195
⚽ SPORTS#1,632,359$-68Vol: $22,589
🏛️ POLITICS#1,329,580$-14Vol: $1,064
₿ CRYPTO#1,013,760$-4Vol: $158
🌤️ WEATHER#30,636$5Vol: $26
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,032
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
252B / 353S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $170
Week
$-15
Vol: $3,211
Month
$-32
Vol: $4,491
All Time
$-128
Vol: $50,032
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
14%
18W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-128
Win Rate
14%
18W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $143 (1.1160518912160051% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$60
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$45
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$38
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$22
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$22
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$18
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$9
Top Losers
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-80
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-80
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-80
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-65
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-31
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.262
Sortino
-0.244
HHI
790
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.270
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
50.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2640s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)28.6%
Sessions
#127/22/2026, 2:49:36 AM4 trades$1,5001 min
7/22/2026, 7:29:19 AM6 trades$1,5001 min
7/21/2026, 11:56:22 PM4 trades$1,0001 min
7/22/2026, 1:21:43 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/22/2026, 6:43:34 AM4 trades$1,0003 min
7/23/2026, 12:51:55 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/31/2026, 3:52:06 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/21/2026, 6:19:27 PM3 trades$5000 min
7/22/2026, 2:24:42 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/22/2026, 11:21:31 PM2 trades$5000 min
8/1/2026, 2:36:23 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/21/2026, 7:26:10 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/21/2026, 11:12:06 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/21/2026, 11:27:51 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/21/2026, 11:49:13 PM2 trades$3330 min
6/12/2026, 2:25:54 PM6 trades$2960 min
6/23/2026, 5:29:34 PM11 trades$1973 min
5/8/2026, 3:57:59 PM9 trades$1832 min
6/23/2026, 12:09:43 AM5 trades$1122 min
7/10/2026, 3:32:32 PM3 trades$1070 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
05-16
06-11
06-20
07-01
07-17
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.5 / M9.9 / H28.6