@ETH002

#3,029,82371

0x40fd04ada25e7506e448b8b8defedbc3a9e47765

~121d· 538 markets · 3285 tradesVol: $526,0802026-08-04 20:57:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (493/537)20/20
1.27x (win $1,684 / loss $1,329)5.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10415/15
Sortino 1.33410/10
$+0.0013 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 115 (537 markets)10/10
88/103 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 110% of peak ($399 / $363)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 92%
DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Whale
$274,978 invested
Consistent
88/103 profitable days
High Roller
$1,046/day
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#299,044$-3,519Vol: $272,264
₿ CRYPTO#1,292,609$-24Vol: $209,067
📈 ECONOMICS#33,048$16Vol: $28,780
🏛️ POLITICS#93,095$47Vol: $15,905
💰 FINANCE#262,581$0Vol: $50
🎭 CULTURE#324,104$0Vol: $10
⚽ SPORTS#559,703$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,481
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$526,080
Total Redeem
$2,116
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
538
total markets
Trades
934B / 2351S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,481
Vol: $526,080

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
493W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-3,481
Win Rate
92%
493W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $329 (0.09450153557094798% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?$153
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 1?$95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?$81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?$66
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C or below on April 3?$64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?$64
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 4?$60
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 29?$41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 1?$40

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$-372
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?$-312
Ethereum all time high by October 31?$-123
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$-80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$-75
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 4?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 13?$-31
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on April 2?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 2?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.028
HHI
87
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
14%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.3m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)92.1%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 7:12:03 AM4 trades$5,9262 min
4/1/2026, 8:57:45 AM36 trades$4,83510 min
3/26/2026, 1:48:39 AM23 trades$4,65617 min
3/25/2026, 3:00:29 AM22 trades$4,59825 min
3/13/2026, 3:36:41 AM3 trades$4,5882 min
3/8/2026, 3:05:45 AM2 trades$4,5730 min
3/6/2026, 2:02:01 AM3 trades$4,5693 min
3/2/2026, 1:24:09 PM9 trades$4,5518 min
3/1/2026, 4:18:35 AM10 trades$4,5414 min
2/19/2026, 3:05:24 AM5 trades$4,4504 min
2/17/2026, 4:23:55 AM6 trades$4,4456 min
2/26/2026, 2:59:46 AM7 trades$4,4325 min
3/24/2026, 2:58:29 AM24 trades$4,41118 min
2/1/2026, 9:11:40 AM1 trades$4,4040 min
2/2/2026, 6:29:04 PM19 trades$4,40429 min
2/4/2026, 10:28:04 AM2 trades$4,4040 min
1/27/2026, 2:15:21 PM1 trades$4,4000 min
1/27/2026, 11:31:19 AM2 trades$4,4000 min
1/29/2026, 7:03:30 AM1 trades$4,4000 min
1/27/2026, 7:28:29 AM1 trades$4,3960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
02-17
03-11
03-28
05-02
06-09
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M4.7 / H92.1