@EUfirst

#3,049,3117

0xae31c5daff96da901abfbebcff6fd81c0c367fa1

~86d· 300 markets · 3365 tradesVol: $1,048,6592026-08-05 01:13:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (60/286)0/20
0.24x (win $12,509 / loss $52,887)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1120/15
Sortino -7.0830/10
$-0.5655 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1009 (286 markets)7.5/10
13/75 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 7887% of peak ($41,838 / $530)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Whale
$71,400 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,794$-3,634Vol: $495,955
🎭 CULTURE#815,036$-3,176Vol: $298,786
SPORTS#1,794,076$-488Vol: $137,382
CRYPTO#56,898$267Vol: $35,485
💰 FINANCE#13,698$167Vol: $31,466
📈 ECONOMICS#3,491$826Vol: $28,219
📢 MENTIONS#168,060$-128Vol: $15,207
🌤️ WEATHER#287,074$-120Vol: $5,348
💻 TECH#4,944$141Vol: $522

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,219
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,048,659
Total Redeem
$2,168
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
300
total markets
Trades
1796B / 1569S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Week
$23
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,219
Vol: $1,048,659

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
60W / 226L events
Realized PnL
$-6,219
Win Rate
21%
60W / 226L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$208
Avg Loss
$-247

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,164 (0.8303764249200404% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$2,556
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$1,361
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$1,247
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$853
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$828
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$676
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?$514
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$415
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$345
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$328

Top Losers

Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-6,155
James Comey arrested by April 29?$-4,812
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?$-4,647
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-4,508
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-3,306
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-2,414
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-1,944
James Comey arrested by April 30?$-1,922
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-1,607
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-1,035

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.370
Sortino
-0.381
HHI
1220
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.470
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.6%
Top-5 markets
56.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 255s — normal for humanCV 5.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency2.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)18.2%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 11:37:16 PM11 trades$70,0140 min
4/3/2026, 9:36:25 PM15 trades$54,5963 min
4/3/2026, 10:34:55 AM52 trades$45,5374 min
4/3/2026, 10:46:17 AM14 trades$25,8262 min
4/3/2026, 10:17:23 PM11 trades$21,7440 min
5/23/2026, 6:37:41 PM4 trades$20,0280 min
4/4/2026, 1:18:45 AM7 trades$12,7772 min
4/4/2026, 1:55:29 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/29/2026, 4:14:36 PM35 trades$7,9411 min
5/8/2026, 3:22:10 PM15 trades$6,1574 min
6/10/2026, 8:42:22 PM17 trades$5,12711 min
4/26/2026, 4:14:38 AM30 trades$4,85011 min
5/9/2026, 7:40:37 AM36 trades$4,7993 min
4/22/2026, 3:10:46 AM23 trades$4,1194 min
5/3/2026, 4:23:16 AM3 trades$3,9220 min
6/9/2026, 2:56:19 AM22 trades$3,7952 min
6/16/2026, 1:55:18 AM2 trades$3,4000 min
4/29/2026, 4:31:16 PM13 trades$3,3570 min
4/28/2026, 7:02:48 PM11 trades$3,0475 min
5/28/2026, 7:25:18 PM7 trades$2,7150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
04-01
04-19
05-02
05-22
06-06
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.5 / M14.3 / H18.2