@EconomistOx
#120,076920xf2a3aee3e288d216c69c9c3d956ac75e1bb88a8d
~62d· 92 markets · 609 tradesVol: $9,8272026-08-04 17:18:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
81% (54/67)20/20
4.40x (win $731 / loss $166)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.46815/15
Sortino 20.45910/10
$+0.0701 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 863 (67 markets)8.2/10
28/35 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($85 / $565)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+463
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Consistent
28/35 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#61,627$108Vol: $5,299
📈 ECONOMICS#5,976$343Vol: $3,724
⚽ SPORTS#231,315$20Vol: $370
🎭 CULTURE#86,970$6Vol: $73
💰 FINANCE#578,943$-12Vol: $53
Overview
#1Net PnL
$463
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,827
Total Redeem
$51
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
289B / 320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d
Periods
#2Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$-18
Vol: $164
Month
$-38
Vol: $164
All Time
$463
Vol: $9,827
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
81%
54W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$463
Win Rate
81%
54W / 13L
Profit Factor
4.4x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-24
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $375 (0.8113896693321807% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$179
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$77
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$19
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$18
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$18
Top Losers
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-30
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?$-20
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?$-14
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$-8
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$-7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.385
Sortino
0.534
HHI
680
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
48.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)92.7%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 1:10:58 PM16 trades$6591 min
7/1/2026, 6:25:19 PM6 trades$5881 min
7/26/2026, 8:38:36 PM11 trades$5483 min
5/9/2026, 9:45:30 PM11 trades$4372 min
7/4/2026, 10:08:55 AM14 trades$4256 min
5/11/2026, 1:26:24 PM10 trades$3403 min
6/1/2026, 8:12:21 AM4 trades$3291 min
7/14/2026, 10:50:14 AM4 trades$3111 min
7/16/2026, 9:27:13 PM18 trades$3038 min
7/15/2026, 9:01:07 PM12 trades$2957 min
6/30/2026, 10:01:25 PM16 trades$2905 min
4/1/2026, 4:52:25 PM23 trades$25810 min
6/15/2026, 9:20:52 PM22 trades$2463 min
5/14/2026, 3:24:38 PM8 trades$2362 min
7/6/2026, 4:41:52 PM6 trades$2244 min
4/29/2026, 5:13:54 PM4 trades$2170 min
3/15/2026, 10:14:29 AM5 trades$2146 min
5/12/2026, 5:27:06 PM21 trades$20711 min
3/12/2026, 8:31:03 PM1 trades$2060 min
7/2/2026, 3:12:43 PM4 trades$1730 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
04-01
04-21
05-12
06-01
06-21
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M6.2 / H92.7