@ElJefeGrande

#2,746,84341

0x8506af3b16761252e4882fd2f156ad6291152a45

~112d· 920 markets · 3858 tradesVol: $97,9462026-08-04 20:57:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (824/920)20/20
0.87x (win $1,015 / loss $1,173)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4430/15
Sortino -1.6020/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 16 (920 markets)10/10
80/109 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($252 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Consistent
80/109 profitable days
Win Streak
48 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#292,159$-245Vol: $97,944
CRYPTO#614,980$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-245
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,946
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
920
total markets
Trades
2266B / 1592S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $274
Week
$9
Vol: $1,304
Month
$24
Vol: $1,713
All Time
$-245
Vol: $97,946

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
824W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$-245
Win Rate
90%
824W / 96L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $76 (0.309795452693342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on March 16?$33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 29?$24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?$19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?$12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?$8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?$8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?$8
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 14?$8
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 7?$7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?$7

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?$-107
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.4
Active
Markets / Day
6.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.9m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 524s — normal for humanCV 0.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency6.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)88.1%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 4:31:48 PM30 trades$30811 min
4/1/2026, 7:01:37 PM11 trades$2055 min
4/26/2026, 3:02:42 PM15 trades$2029 min
5/1/2026, 4:08:28 PM21 trades$1864 min
4/1/2026, 9:46:37 PM7 trades$1771 min
5/6/2026, 1:50:26 PM15 trades$1777 min
3/21/2026, 3:23:11 PM10 trades$17413 min
5/3/2026, 1:40:26 PM8 trades$1711 min
4/29/2026, 12:21:42 PM23 trades$1688 min
5/2/2026, 7:21:46 AM10 trades$1662 min
5/3/2026, 2:05:46 PM5 trades$1664 min
5/1/2026, 12:23:18 AM5 trades$1651 min
3/29/2026, 1:24:52 AM8 trades$1641 min
3/25/2026, 5:13:21 PM6 trades$1594 min
4/28/2026, 5:17:40 PM6 trades$1574 min
4/28/2026, 10:22:42 AM6 trades$1575 min
5/16/2026, 4:22:48 PM5 trades$1564 min
6/6/2026, 2:21:46 PM6 trades$1521 min
6/19/2026, 12:20:28 PM8 trades$1521 min
4/28/2026, 12:34:00 AM7 trades$1521 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-23
04-28
05-16
06-17
07-08
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.4 / M7.5 / H88.1