Elfajad

@Elfajad

#3,047,25545

0xa6ea028639279651bb5abf570a2de1412ec7b02a

~128d· 283 markets · 2522 tradesVol: $2,758,9652026-08-04 19:18:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (54/275)0/20
1.24x (win $24,197 / loss $19,542)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.82315/15
Sortino 2.30710/10
$+0.0903 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 552 (275 markets)9.7/10
21/97 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 130% of peak ($7,587 / $5,850)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Whale
$51,565 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#29,148$439Vol: $1,362,866
💰 FINANCE#653,398$-890Vol: $749,546
🎭 CULTURE#815,724$-4,708Vol: $553,907
📈 ECONOMICS#667,749$-187Vol: $43,356
SPORTS#1,803,866$-584Vol: $23,075
CRYPTO#82,621$121Vol: $19,361
📢 MENTIONS#138,612$-16Vol: $4,325
💻 TECH#239,070$-28Vol: $2,329
🌤️ WEATHER#218,140$-3Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,857
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,758,965
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
283
total markets
Trades
1688B / 834S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $1,013
Week
$5
Vol: $1,013
Month
$-90
Vol: $11,092
All Time
$-5,857
Vol: $2,758,965

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
54W / 221L events
Realized PnL
$-5,857
Win Rate
20%
54W / 221L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$448
Avg Loss
$-91

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,790 (2.8668607530094765% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$7,800
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$4,749
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$4,241
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1,596
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$641
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$630
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$617
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$546
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$531
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$483

Top Losers

Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?$-2,073
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,900
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,085
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-754
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-682
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-598
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?$-590
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$-579
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$-559
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?$-552

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.043
Sortino
0.121
HHI
1378
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
3.7%
Half-Kelly
1.8%
Top-1 market
32.5%
Top-5 markets
59.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 4.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)8.8%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 12:03:02 PM2 trades$6,6000 min
4/14/2026, 10:55:00 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/12/2026, 3:53:39 PM11 trades$4,9314 min
4/12/2026, 6:08:13 PM15 trades$4,8280 min
4/17/2026, 10:40:28 PM3 trades$2,7690 min
4/17/2026, 9:17:18 PM4 trades$2,7490 min
4/5/2026, 4:32:35 PM4 trades$2,6060 min
6/3/2026, 9:37:15 PM7 trades$2,3210 min
4/13/2026, 3:41:33 AM26 trades$2,3154 min
5/6/2026, 11:43:12 AM4 trades$2,2342 min
4/13/2026, 1:37:55 AM6 trades$2,0210 min
3/9/2026, 2:47:51 AM2 trades$1,8253 min
4/12/2026, 7:01:31 PM9 trades$1,5730 min
6/14/2026, 11:26:27 PM4 trades$1,4303 min
4/24/2026, 6:36:58 PM25 trades$1,3564 min
6/13/2026, 7:58:51 PM3 trades$1,3363 min
5/2/2026, 1:04:14 AM12 trades$1,2580 min
6/7/2026, 11:28:07 PM2 trades$1,2300 min
4/3/2026, 7:34:31 PM4 trades$1,2090 min
4/16/2026, 9:54:46 PM8 trades$1,2041 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
02-22
03-10
04-06
05-02
06-22
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 83 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.72/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.5 / M18.7 / H8.8