Elkhugger

@Elkhugger

#127,69787

0x85727d15b95a16c91e06cba3c0ee41fa6a3f8bd6

~13d· 132 markets · 427 tradesVol: $14,8392026-08-04 20:05:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (72/131)12.5/20
7.04x (win $3,509 / loss $499)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.65415/15
Sortino 670.99210/10
$+2.3620 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 427 (131 markets)10/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($39 / $3,010)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+402
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#102,094$88Vol: $7,616
🎭 CULTURE#10,644$311Vol: $7,209
🏛️ POLITICS#249,631$3Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$402
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,839
Total Redeem
$244
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
132
total markets
Trades
309B / 118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
72W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$402
Win Rate
55%
72W / 59L
Profit Factor
7.04x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,748 (4.347590391405978% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1,041
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?$374
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?$333
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$172
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$156
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$134
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$91

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026?$-80
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?$-65
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?$-43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$-20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?$-13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?$-12
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.529
Sortino
29.288
HHI
271
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.353
Kelly %
49.4%
Half-Kelly
24.7%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
27.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.6%
Mid (20-55c)44.3%
High (>55c)21%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 8:18:01 AM51 trades$9181 min
7/7/2026, 4:48:19 PM21 trades$6821 min
3/22/2026, 5:14:27 PM30 trades$36241 min
7/10/2026, 10:35:17 AM17 trades$2921 min
3/22/2026, 10:25:33 PM55 trades$19161 min
3/7/2026, 11:10:17 AM2 trades$1071 min
7/11/2026, 7:54:35 AM5 trades$1010 min
3/1/2026, 7:39:29 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/23/2026, 10:12:39 AM37 trades$9540 min
3/23/2026, 11:45:51 AM32 trades$8636 min
3/3/2026, 8:37:27 AM42 trades$7950 min
3/22/2026, 9:35:07 PM10 trades$5412 min
3/23/2026, 11:15:29 AM9 trades$409 min
3/1/2026, 7:31:47 PM4 trades$372 min
3/6/2026, 12:20:41 AM8 trades$3711 min
4/1/2026, 2:07:53 PM5 trades$371 min
3/22/2026, 9:53:37 PM6 trades$334 min
3/23/2026, 12:29:23 PM10 trades$3214 min
3/23/2026, 10:57:59 AM9 trades$248 min
3/6/2026, 12:44:21 AM11 trades$2312 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-03
03-06
03-07
03-22
03-23
03-24
03-25
04-01
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.6 / M44.3 / H21