@ElonButler

#85,00973

0x83f54d70b393ee84d5487a75d80ceba56ea84ae3

~138d· 4483 markets · 28921 tradesVol: $1,756,0252026-08-04 22:09:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (3112/3699)20/20
1.05x (win $61,542 / loss $58,791)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.62511.7/15
Sortino 0.8608.6/10
$+0.3530 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 43 (3699 markets)10/10
85/123 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($5,268 / $6,148)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+928
DCA Master
Avg 7.7 entries/market
Consistent
85/123 profitable days
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#8,600$438Vol: $1,528,890
⚽ SPORTS#98,349$156Vol: $186,561
📈 ECONOMICS#7,863$219Vol: $31,029
🏛️ POLITICS#75,955$71Vol: $6,506
💰 FINANCE#36,699$25Vol: $1,899
🌤️ WEATHER#22,566$10Vol: $547
₿ CRYPTO#257,082$8Vol: $160
💻 TECH#173,889$-0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$928
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,756,025
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4483
total markets
Trades
3209B / 25712S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~138d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$928
Vol: $1,756,025

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
3112W / 587L events
Realized PnL
$928
Win Rate
84%
3112W / 587L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-120

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,247 (4.575259086893758% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,939
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1,239
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,069
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$982
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$801
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$767
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$716
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$707
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$615
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$564

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-6,579
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,172
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$-4,639
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3,524
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,865
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-2,391
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-2,183
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-2,175
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-2,120
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-1,756

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.029
HHI
303
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.354
Kelly %
78.5%
Half-Kelly
39.2%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
29.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.0
Very active
Markets / Day
9.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
66 min
Avg Trades / Session
102.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock61 trades/day — mass trading9.5 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
1/21/2026, 6:28:04 PM832 trades$3,184296 min
4/2/2026, 2:35:07 PM71 trades$8772 min
1/22/2026, 6:24:32 PM118 trades$723102 min
1/22/2026, 3:45:06 PM245 trades$650121 min
1/21/2026, 5:00:34 PM181 trades$56480 min
1/23/2026, 6:40:18 PM169 trades$538106 min
1/24/2026, 11:56:44 AM163 trades$52482 min
1/24/2026, 6:45:56 PM322 trades$523154 min
1/22/2026, 1:19:48 AM83 trades$45072 min
2/28/2026, 11:46:55 PM131 trades$36070 min
1/24/2026, 1:26:14 PM136 trades$349105 min
2/28/2026, 1:53:01 PM94 trades$34648 min
1/22/2026, 1:03:16 PM98 trades$29970 min
1/24/2026, 1:57:22 AM195 trades$29699 min
5/9/2026, 3:43:32 PM67 trades$29439 min
1/22/2026, 12:20:04 AM75 trades$28355 min
2/27/2026, 12:03:04 AM13 trades$25624 min
1/20/2026, 9:17:52 PM116 trades$252100 min
1/23/2026, 12:19:20 AM152 trades$247119 min
3/1/2026, 4:55:59 AM59 trades$24564 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
01-30
02-19
03-11
03-31
04-20
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
88.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100