@ElonSimp
#18,146170xfbcbd30ee172d6750364c117d989c4c049eebb5d
~69d· 142 markets · 57590 tradesVol: $1,566,2392026-08-06 06:20:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (52/142)3.3/20
0.80x (win $36,195 / loss $45,361)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2810/15
Sortino -2.6500/10
$-0.0360 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 136 (142 markets)10/10
24/56 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($12,472 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+7,129
Whale
$254,880 invested
High Roller
$2,741/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🎭 CULTURE#1,064$7,717Vol: $1,566,239
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,566,239
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
26426B / 31164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d
Periods
#2Today
$240
Vol: $23,262
Week
$392
Vol: $103,298
Month
$588
Vol: $114,990
All Time
$7,717
Vol: $1,566,239
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
51W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$7,129
Win Rate
36%
51W / 90L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$696
Avg Loss
$-510
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,239 (1.5765056565132314% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$5,375
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$3,049
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2,816
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2,224
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2,135
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,993
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1,849
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1,773
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1,527
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1,481
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-4,336
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-3,430
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-2,749
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-2,143
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-2,027
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-2,002
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-1,783
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-1,688
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-1,681
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-1,579
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.118
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
171
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
17.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
619.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
44 min
Avg Trades / Session
345.2
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 37s — normal for humanCV 3.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock619 trades/day — automation1.5 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
405.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.5%
High (>55c)64.4%
Sessions
#125/5/2026, 4:39:48 PM1234 trades$12,34319 min
6/11/2026, 10:22:57 PM705 trades$10,66394 min
5/22/2026, 12:42:10 PM900 trades$9,23688 min
7/7/2026, 3:45:31 PM125 trades$8,9508 min
6/16/2026, 1:28:19 PM452 trades$8,62763 min
5/5/2026, 2:20:22 PM985 trades$8,28316 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:58 PM301 trades$8,25081 min
6/26/2026, 1:49:24 PM229 trades$7,47560 min
6/18/2026, 1:26:37 AM408 trades$7,28164 min
6/13/2026, 2:15:21 PM367 trades$7,269104 min
6/11/2026, 4:25:55 PM433 trades$7,17778 min
6/12/2026, 3:22:21 PM183 trades$6,46337 min
5/5/2026, 9:24:36 PM663 trades$5,87310 min
6/19/2026, 12:41:55 AM481 trades$5,427101 min
5/5/2026, 12:40:48 PM829 trades$5,42536 min
7/24/2026, 7:40:54 AM260 trades$5,23856 min
7/21/2026, 5:57:19 AM245 trades$5,08551 min
7/14/2026, 10:36:31 PM96 trades$4,9402 min
5/6/2026, 4:14:46 AM505 trades$4,82711 min
5/5/2026, 10:56:52 PM239 trades$4,6798 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-20
06-07
06-17
06-26
07-13
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 405.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M16.5 / H64.4