Ericgarcia21

@Ericgarcia21

#2,969,18110

0xc86dbbaf9ec073fadf11b217159087433d142e76

~63d· 75 markets · 612 tradesVol: $50,9292026-08-05 17:29:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (15/74)0/20
0.15x (win $828 / loss $5,610)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5550/15
Sortino -7.0660/10
$-0.9907 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 479 (74 markets)10/10
11/44 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 514345% of peak ($4,783 / $1)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#297,177$-820Vol: $29,813
SPORTS#1,752,157$-234Vol: $10,045
🎭 CULTURE#804,876$-372Vol: $5,030
📈 ECONOMICS#655,336$-75Vol: $3,067
🏛️ POLITICS#1,164,552$-5Vol: $2,878
📢 MENTIONS#94,488$-2Vol: $45
CRYPTO#437,436$1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,479
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,929
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
227B / 385S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,479
Vol: $50,929

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
15W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-1,479
Win Rate
20%
15W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $444 (0.30004461931610754% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?$249
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?$113
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$82
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$79
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?$69
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$60
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?$49
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 28?$26
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,194
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-972
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$-610
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-400
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-356
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-283
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$-261
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$-233
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-132
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$-112

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.391
Sortino
-0.346
HHI
1613
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.621
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
73.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1271s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)25.1%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 9:29:59 PM4 trades$1,0021 min
6/26/2026, 2:32:13 PM9 trades$9926 min
6/4/2026, 1:51:21 PM2 trades$6000 min
4/8/2026, 8:17:21 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/13/2026, 4:07:04 PM3 trades$4930 min
5/18/2026, 8:24:49 PM11 trades$4891 min
5/16/2026, 12:25:00 PM5 trades$4630 min
6/11/2026, 3:33:51 PM7 trades$4020 min
5/28/2026, 1:26:19 PM2 trades$3600 min
5/8/2026, 2:13:55 PM2 trades$3510 min
5/17/2026, 7:41:51 PM9 trades$3470 min
6/8/2026, 2:20:15 PM7 trades$3282 min
5/23/2026, 10:24:45 AM2 trades$3220 min
6/20/2026, 4:34:28 PM7 trades$3161 min
5/15/2026, 7:58:47 PM2 trades$2960 min
5/5/2026, 12:28:00 PM3 trades$2770 min
6/24/2026, 11:14:35 AM7 trades$2700 min
5/20/2026, 3:22:38 PM3 trades$2530 min
5/27/2026, 9:20:01 AM2 trades$2510 min
4/7/2026, 11:00:33 PM9 trades$2437 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-14
05-24
06-11
06-20
07-06
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 125 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.2 / M20.7 / H25.1