@Esojdragon

#2,886,09223

0xe964e43b8f708057805dd4fa0ed9a3a6d8ac8b45

~41d· 173 markets · 487 tradesVol: $24,4712026-08-05 00:39:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (73/170)6.5/20
0.72x (win $1,597 / loss $2,212)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5280/15
Sortino -2.7340/10
$-0.1311 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 254 (170 markets)10/10
22/38 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 475% of peak ($897 / $189)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,810,816$-678Vol: $24,471

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-678
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,471
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
173
total markets
Trades
234B / 253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $8
Week
$-0
Vol: $8
Month
$-0
Vol: $8
All Time
$-678
Vol: $24,471

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
73W / 97L events
Realized PnL
$-678
Win Rate
43%
73W / 97L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $625 (0.9218473516574259% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$296
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$211
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$118
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$50
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5$46
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$45
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$43
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$40
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$36
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$35

Top Losers

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-680
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-149
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$-100
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$-100
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?$-99
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$-77
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?$-47
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
425
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1290s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)48.7%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 4:44:41 AM13 trades$5354 min
6/10/2026, 3:21:10 AM8 trades$4000 min
6/21/2026, 10:59:37 PM6 trades$3850 min
6/23/2026, 5:23:40 AM2 trades$3730 min
6/20/2026, 6:10:19 PM4 trades$3541 min
6/21/2026, 4:32:04 AM2 trades$3510 min
6/21/2026, 4:11:55 PM2 trades$3090 min
6/18/2026, 1:00:56 AM6 trades$2782 min
6/2/2026, 4:36:07 AM10 trades$2761 min
6/23/2026, 4:15:55 AM4 trades$2490 min
6/14/2026, 2:59:28 PM5 trades$2441 min
6/20/2026, 12:44:56 AM10 trades$2345 min
7/1/2026, 5:46:01 PM4 trades$2094 min
5/10/2026, 4:29:07 PM7 trades$2071 min
6/19/2026, 11:09:26 PM4 trades$1874 min
6/27/2026, 2:38:02 AM2 trades$1850 min
6/22/2026, 2:31:26 AM4 trades$1591 min
6/25/2026, 4:33:22 AM5 trades$1510 min
4/28/2026, 4:29:36 PM8 trades$1215 min
6/23/2026, 1:11:16 AM2 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-28
05-04
06-02
06-14
06-20
06-26
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M43.6 / H48.7