@EveryTipHelps

#84,40269

0xcfaeddb1310704f16d1f2b956d712b8c209b9ded

~24d· 69 markets · 623 tradesVol: $345,8992026-08-06 15:54:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (9/69)0/20
3.81x (win $12,113 / loss $3,179)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.43315/15
Sortino 48.49710/10
$+1.3017 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 761 (69 markets)8.7/10
6/20 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($1,963 / $10,604)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+4,022
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 19%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#16,573$1,130Vol: $236,939
🎭 CULTURE#805,706$-475Vol: $57,080
CRYPTO#1,551,913$-242Vol: $18,085
SPORTS#54,251$548Vol: $17,114
📈 ECONOMICS#638,688$-30Vol: $15,659
🌤️ WEATHER#21,172$12Vol: $1,022

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$944
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$345,899
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
155B / 468S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
9W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$4,022
Win Rate
13%
9W / 60L
Profit Factor
3.81x
Avg Win
$1,346
Avg Loss
$-57

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,639 (2.893827927849533% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$9,079
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$2,096
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$464
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$193
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$90
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$22

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-536
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$-458
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-347
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-208
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-198
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$-177
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$-113
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-113
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-103
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.226
Sortino
3.125
HHI
2633
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.931
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.3%
Top-5 markets
101.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 3.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity13 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.48
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)21.9%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 10:52:11 AM30 trades$45,2255 min
6/15/2026, 1:14:19 PM4 trades$21,6670 min
6/11/2026, 8:25:27 AM8 trades$10,0605 min
6/1/2026, 9:18:49 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/11/2026, 3:46:52 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/8/2026, 6:07:43 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/26/2026, 3:49:39 AM3 trades$5,4530 min
6/8/2026, 5:42:13 AM9 trades$5,3220 min
6/8/2026, 6:04:48 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/13/2026, 1:42:27 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/13/2026, 3:27:57 PM22 trades$4,5020 min
5/26/2026, 3:10:30 AM2 trades$4,1630 min
5/23/2026, 9:11:18 AM10 trades$3,7795 min
6/10/2026, 8:04:12 AM7 trades$3,5560 min
5/28/2026, 7:41:22 AM17 trades$3,4840 min
6/15/2026, 6:37:36 PM2 trades$2,3810 min
5/23/2026, 10:08:46 AM9 trades$2,0420 min
5/25/2026, 7:37:18 AM18 trades$1,7510 min
7/7/2026, 4:07:29 AM3 trades$1,7090 min
5/23/2026, 8:00:50 AM3 trades$1,5990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
05-28
06-08
06-12
06-15
06-21
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.48/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.4 / M18.7 / H21.9