@Excelium

#2,463,29036

0x5b31954a985fd3215e6d2219d15ae0ffa93a0ada

~14d· 124 markets · 1448 tradesVol: $17,2642026-08-05 15:50:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (12/73)0/20
1.05x (win $172 / loss $163)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.66812.5/15
Sortino 1.12110/10
$+0.0115 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 1007 (73 markets)7.5/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 224% of peak ($70 / $31)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#559,225$-4Vol: $6,411
🏛️ POLITICS#1,192,670$-6Vol: $3,120
⚽ SPORTS#286,007$9Vol: $3,007
₿ CRYPTO#1,370,556$-43Vol: $2,113
💰 FINANCE#585,876$-15Vol: $1,108
🌤️ WEATHER#219,839$-3Vol: $836
🎭 CULTURE#636,424$-4Vol: $470
💻 TECH#183,454$-1Vol: $182
📢 MENTIONS#73,367$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-74
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,264
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
743B / 705S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-74
Vol: $17,264

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
12W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-74
Win Rate
16%
12W / 61L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $82 (1.1127584330794342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$42
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$21
Harry Kane: 1+ goals$18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?$18
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$14
Jonathan David: 1+ goals$12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?$9
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?$8
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$8

Top Losers

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$-24
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$-20
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?$-10
Son Heungmin: 1+ goals$-10
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$-10
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals$-10
Trump out as President before GTA VI?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-10
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?$-6
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.069
HHI
286
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.3
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.9m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency4.1 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.2%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)30.3%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 12:14:08 AM8 trades$4981 min
6/21/2026, 10:08:52 AM114 trades$18715 min
6/25/2026, 2:43:22 AM6 trades$1141 min
6/22/2026, 7:59:26 PM7 trades$1142 min
6/21/2026, 9:43:31 AM148 trades$10518 min
6/30/2026, 4:23:10 AM10 trades$1011 min
6/25/2026, 7:45:10 PM5 trades$952 min
6/24/2026, 12:56:49 AM27 trades$922 min
6/24/2026, 6:15:26 PM4 trades$832 min
6/24/2026, 2:08:19 AM22 trades$821 min
6/21/2026, 8:55:25 AM485 trades$6943 min
6/25/2026, 9:34:05 PM4 trades$610 min
6/23/2026, 8:39:01 PM23 trades$5911 min
6/23/2026, 6:21:32 AM3 trades$560 min
6/23/2026, 9:27:25 AM46 trades$5614 min
6/21/2026, 8:03:13 AM47 trades$536 min
6/17/2026, 10:11:16 PM4 trades$462 min
6/23/2026, 11:05:08 PM8 trades$436 min
6/25/2026, 9:04:49 AM14 trades$3821 min
6/29/2026, 9:16:23 AM6 trades$360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-22
06-24
06-27
06-29
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.2 / M5.5 / H30.3