Farlight

@Farlight

#2,794,3184

0x0e338b48e77a273b0540f008dc010097ab487dee

~66d· 101 markets · 261 tradesVol: $34,191 @0xFarlight2026-08-05 17:36:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (31/91)2/20
0.72x (win $307 / loss $425)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8170/15
Sortino -4.0550/10
$-0.0284 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3820 (91 markets)0/10
18/50 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($223 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,682,360$-102Vol: $24,339
🏛️ POLITICS#1,423,654$-31Vol: $3,772
CRYPTO#1,495,511$-121Vol: $3,237
📢 MENTIONS#140,883$-19Vol: $1,144
🎭 CULTURE#736,396$-25Vol: $541
💰 FINANCE#528,686$-3Vol: $530
💻 TECH#204,534$-2Vol: $222
📈 ECONOMICS#564,782$-5Vol: $145

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-324
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,191
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
155B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $258
Week
$-19
Vol: $1,038
Month
$-29
Vol: $1,078
All Time
$-324
Vol: $34,191

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
31W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$-324
Win Rate
34%
31W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $128 (0.39402165530431565% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$72
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$18
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$17
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)$13
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?$11
Colts vs. Chiefs$11
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies$10
Jets vs. Red Wings$9

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-43
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?$-37
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$-20
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$-17
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$-15
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?$-15
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5$-13
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
7151
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
17.2%
Half-Kelly
8.6%
Top-1 market
80.1%
Top-5 markets
121.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 3.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.1%
Mid (20-55c)34.8%
High (>55c)29%

Sessions

#12
3/24/2026, 12:17:05 AM38 trades$3,08610 min
4/13/2026, 12:57:01 AM4 trades$2,0402 min
3/24/2026, 12:34:19 AM10 trades$5039 min
4/15/2026, 6:04:38 AM3 trades$2202 min
3/23/2026, 11:45:11 PM13 trades$1895 min
3/24/2026, 12:00:39 AM6 trades$1021 min
7/31/2026, 1:12:50 AM6 trades$772 min
4/10/2026, 5:17:55 AM4 trades$721 min
12/30/2025, 10:59:29 PM2 trades$624 min
11/12/2025, 9:49:22 PM3 trades$591 min
6/1/2026, 5:07:12 PM2 trades$560 min
12/30/2025, 10:29:45 PM1 trades$460 min
5/14/2026, 3:00:53 AM10 trades$406 min
4/7/2026, 4:00:37 PM6 trades$392 min
1/15/2026, 10:44:26 PM4 trades$396 min
12/31/2025, 2:54:27 PM4 trades$361 min
4/13/2026, 7:35:41 PM2 trades$360 min
4/13/2026, 3:26:23 PM3 trades$350 min
11/24/2025, 7:34:39 PM1 trades$310 min
8/2/2026, 6:18:00 PM4 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-21
11-12
12-11
01-09
01-31
04-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.29/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.1 / M34.8 / H29