@Fedorec

#1,278,31118

0x4df956d692b8a7ea50282e5eccbb5797c4310929

~29d· 31 markets · 80 tradesVol: $1,1402026-08-05 01:47:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (11/27)5.4/20
0.86x (win $11 / loss $13)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3970/15
Sortino -2.3020/10
$-0.0553 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 530 (27 markets)9.8/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 129% of peak ($8 / $7)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#249,902$3Vol: $546
CRYPTO#1,059,560$-6Vol: $353
💻 TECH#37,532$2Vol: $68
🌤️ WEATHER#79,849$0Vol: $50
💰 FINANCE#484,776$-1Vol: $48
🎭 CULTURE#478,494$-0Vol: $45
📈 ECONOMICS#96,122$2Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,140
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
54B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1
Vol: $1,140

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
11W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
41%
11W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (6.712765957446809% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$3
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2
Ethereum Up or Down on February 3?$1
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be at least 72%?$1
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$1
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$1
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$0

Top Losers

Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?$-1
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-1
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-1
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-1
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-1
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-1
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-1
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$-1
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-1
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.247
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7488s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)87%
Mid (20-55c)3.7%
High (>55c)9.3%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 12:24:32 PM14 trades$432 min
2/7/2026, 11:28:01 PM1 trades$30 min
2/24/2026, 1:17:12 AM1 trades$30 min
2/11/2026, 6:04:03 AM1 trades$30 min
2/4/2026, 7:32:51 PM1 trades$30 min
2/3/2026, 12:57:14 PM1 trades$20 min
1/28/2026, 11:51:57 AM1 trades$20 min
2/5/2026, 9:21:57 PM1 trades$20 min
2/11/2026, 10:58:45 AM1 trades$20 min
3/4/2026, 9:28:45 PM1 trades$20 min
1/28/2026, 7:33:10 PM1 trades$10 min
2/5/2026, 3:18:43 PM1 trades$10 min
2/6/2026, 4:16:29 AM1 trades$10 min
3/1/2026, 3:24:21 PM1 trades$10 min
4/9/2026, 9:05:29 AM1 trades$10 min
2/3/2026, 11:15:50 AM1 trades$10 min
2/21/2026, 4:42:36 PM1 trades$10 min
2/28/2026, 8:50:07 AM1 trades$10 min
3/18/2026, 1:20:59 PM1 trades$10 min
2/3/2026, 3:17:34 PM2 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-05
02-11
02-23
03-01
03-12
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 137 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87 / M3.7 / H9.3