@Ferenc199

#2,677,82914

0x90cf5bbab8df21e2cafd0d082d4eaf9997332d2c

~33d· 27 markets · 507 tradesVol: $22,0352026-08-04 18:11:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (8/22)3.2/20
0.86x (win $1,445 / loss $1,676)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1260/15
Sortino -1.7390/10
$-0.0469 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1203 (22 markets)6.5/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 1577% of peak ($1,188 / $75)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
94% entries < $0.55
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,529,472$-110Vol: $16,740
📈 ECONOMICS#651,949$-61Vol: $5,295

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
403B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $0
Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$-37
Vol: $0
All Time
$-171
Vol: $22,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
8W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-171
Win Rate
36%
8W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$181
Avg Loss
$-120

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,142 (6.678884601894072% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$509
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$416
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$217
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$109
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$68
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$62
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$47
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$16

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-358
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-264
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$-203
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-186
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$-165
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?$-141
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$-98
Iran leadership change by March 31?$-62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-61
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.121
HHI
2124
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
8.7%
Half-Kelly
4.3%
Top-1 market
33.1%
Top-5 markets
81.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 3.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)89.6%
High (>55c)6.5%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 4:17:26 AM5 trades$1,9080 min
4/17/2026, 1:39:34 AM2 trades$8030 min
4/17/2026, 1:57:26 AM5 trades$7990 min
5/20/2026, 11:57:17 PM6 trades$4410 min
6/24/2026, 3:00:28 PM9 trades$4101 min
4/2/2026, 6:07:25 PM5 trades$3661 min
4/12/2026, 6:57:05 PM2 trades$3030 min
6/28/2026, 7:57:52 PM2 trades$2950 min
4/17/2026, 9:35:58 PM4 trades$2715 min
6/28/2026, 7:29:37 PM7 trades$2550 min
6/18/2026, 9:30:53 PM3 trades$2510 min
6/17/2026, 11:56:16 PM1 trades$2490 min
4/17/2026, 4:06:56 PM4 trades$2430 min
6/17/2026, 11:37:11 PM4 trades$2300 min
6/23/2026, 11:33:52 PM2 trades$2300 min
4/13/2026, 5:08:01 PM1 trades$2270 min
5/24/2026, 1:50:12 AM4 trades$2250 min
4/23/2026, 4:31:12 PM5 trades$2172 min
5/11/2026, 1:21:14 AM2 trades$2140 min
4/9/2026, 1:55:15 AM3 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-17
05-06
05-24
06-16
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L4 / M89.6 / H6.5