@Fervid

#207,10683

0x74d9ecaacdb24d7dc0a05b6ff26857d11001ad7e

~26d· 27 markets · 324 tradesVol: $58,5702026-08-05 16:37:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (21/27)20/20
2.29x (win $3,159 / loss $1,380)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.78815/15
Sortino 8.47410/10
$+0.0561 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 742 (27 markets)8.8/10
13/17 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($1,182 / $1,873)1.4/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+134
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
Consistent
13/17 profitable days

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#623,856$-63Vol: $40,478
🏛️ POLITICS#34,954$317Vol: $14,854
📈 ECONOMICS#664,593$-135Vol: $2,788
₿ CRYPTO#205,724$15Vol: $450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,570
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
107B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-30
Vol: $0
Week
$-128
Vol: $0
Month
$-408
Vol: $426
All Time
$134
Vol: $58,570

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
22W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$134
Win Rate
81%
22W / 5L
Profit Factor
2.29x
Avg Win
$150
Avg Loss
$-460

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,565 (11.669425801640568% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$551
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$524
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$490
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$305
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$214
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)$190
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$169
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$162
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?$121
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?$116

Top Losers

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-912
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?$-328
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.294
Sortino
0.248
HHI
921
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
17.8%
Half-Kelly
8.9%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
58.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 457s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)94.4%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 3:03:31 PM22 trades$5,4906 min
6/19/2026, 3:10:13 PM26 trades$3,3208 min
6/23/2026, 2:14:43 PM10 trades$3,2126 min
7/22/2026, 1:06:21 PM2 trades$3,0750 min
7/28/2026, 2:33:04 PM14 trades$2,8280 min
7/28/2026, 10:19:19 PM23 trades$2,2641 min
7/22/2026, 1:26:51 PM22 trades$2,1203 min
7/13/2026, 8:15:04 PM9 trades$1,7224 min
7/2/2026, 12:41:14 PM2 trades$1,6650 min
7/29/2026, 2:43:26 PM2 trades$1,5600 min
7/28/2026, 1:26:19 PM10 trades$1,5253 min
6/26/2026, 9:48:07 PM3 trades$1,3050 min
6/28/2026, 3:39:17 PM9 trades$1,2442 min
7/7/2026, 1:43:41 PM1 trades$1,1050 min
6/28/2026, 12:27:20 AM6 trades$1,0404 min
7/28/2026, 4:28:43 AM10 trades$1,0355 min
6/29/2026, 11:06:40 PM3 trades$9990 min
6/30/2026, 1:07:01 AM2 trades$9880 min
7/22/2026, 10:34:48 PM12 trades$9861 min
7/28/2026, 10:23:38 AM6 trades$9554 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-25
06-28
06-30
07-02
07-09
07-22
07-29
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M4.7 / H94.4