@FireInTheHole2
600xe331515ac038da672bb58e0403b9f3a8d7810163
~50d· 1047 markets · 8710 trades2026-08-04 14:06:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (285/1047)0/20
1.27x (win $26,250 / loss $20,715)5.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.25315/15
Sortino 5.19010/10
$+0.1751 per $1 invested8.8/10
HHI 48 (1047 markets)10/10
24/50 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($2,922 / $6,880)5.5/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+6,792
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,792
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,619
Total Redeem
$4,011
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1047
total markets
Trades
1289B / 7421S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
285W / 762L events
Realized PnL
$6,792
Win Rate
27%
285W / 762L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-28
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,303 (1.22247464634448% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5,503
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5$1,633
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$1,167
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-19?$851
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$749
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$708
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$570
Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)$532
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5$487
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?$431
Top Losers
Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?$-2,093
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5$-707
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5$-278
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-31?$-203
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?$-200
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-08-02?$-200
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?$-200
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to Score$-200
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19?$-199
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)$-198
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
0.248
HHI
329
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.175
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
35.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
79.2
Very active
Markets / Day
9.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 1274s — normal for humanCV 4.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock79 trades/day — mass trading9.5 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.32
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)69.2%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)17.8%
Sessions
#125/6/2026, 3:44:56 PM34 trades$7,2550 min
5/19/2026, 7:33:08 PM12 trades$5,6301 min
4/30/2026, 3:44:36 PM53 trades$5,5140 min
4/30/2026, 4:09:48 AM18 trades$4,8400 min
5/19/2026, 10:24:38 PM16 trades$4,4226 min
5/5/2026, 1:14:58 AM30 trades$4,2690 min
5/2/2026, 1:59:48 AM46 trades$4,0910 min
4/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM21 trades$3,8630 min
4/30/2026, 5:15:08 PM69 trades$3,4424 min
5/19/2026, 1:36:16 PM23 trades$3,3292 min
5/20/2026, 1:32:14 AM5 trades$3,1732 min
5/5/2026, 5:39:42 AM26 trades$3,0060 min
4/24/2026, 3:59:58 PM4 trades$3,0000 min
5/13/2026, 3:19:56 AM52 trades$2,8630 min
5/4/2026, 7:44:44 AM3 trades$2,7770 min
5/5/2026, 7:59:40 PM20 trades$2,6230 min
5/9/2026, 3:14:20 AM42 trades$2,5921 min
4/27/2026, 7:59:38 PM21 trades$2,5790 min
5/1/2026, 4:34:56 PM6 trades$2,5170 min
5/1/2026, 2:15:08 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
04-30
05-08
05-21
07-14
07-24
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
85.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.2 / M13 / H17.8