@Firthson

#278,39415

0x141574e5f39be09363a5dfe2cf0877ab5e637777

~14d· 18 markets · 115 tradesVol: $28,5562026-08-05 15:52:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (4/10)5/20
0.24x (win $141 / loss $600)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.9740/15
Sortino -9.1020/10
$-0.0662 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1211 (10 markets)6.4/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 426% of peak ($600 / $141)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+70
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#90,833$50Vol: $26,598
⚽ SPORTS#228,542$20Vol: $1,958

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,556
Total Redeem
$459
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
71B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Week
$5
Vol: $3,850
Month
$5
Vol: $3,850
All Time
$70
Vol: $28,556

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
4W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$70
Win Rate
40%
4W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-100

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $126 (1.8008874892642428% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)$55
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$52
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$18
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)$15

Top Losers

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?$-175
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$-153
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-104
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$-85
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$-67
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.483
Sortino
-0.550
HHI
329
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
34.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)62% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)52.1%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 8:49:42 AM4 trades$1,0160 min
5/16/2026, 5:49:32 AM6 trades$1,0155 min
7/23/2026, 6:22:19 AM3 trades$9350 min
7/8/2026, 7:03:52 AM4 trades$9200 min
7/10/2026, 2:54:05 AM3 trades$9050 min
4/15/2026, 9:57:58 AM10 trades$8202 min
6/19/2026, 3:04:08 AM4 trades$5900 min
6/19/2026, 6:46:58 AM4 trades$5800 min
5/13/2026, 5:07:48 AM2 trades$5170 min
6/20/2026, 2:56:41 AM4 trades$5101 min
5/13/2026, 5:52:39 AM2 trades$5040 min
5/13/2026, 5:46:20 AM1 trades$5010 min
8/3/2026, 7:30:36 AM2 trades$4850 min
8/5/2026, 1:24:57 AM2 trades$4800 min
8/5/2026, 2:25:54 AM2 trades$4750 min
4/26/2026, 5:09:30 AM6 trades$4601 min
4/26/2026, 2:20:56 AM6 trades$4491 min
8/3/2026, 8:00:03 AM1 trades$4460 min
8/5/2026, 3:07:50 AM1 trades$4420 min
8/5/2026, 2:09:33 AM1 trades$4420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-26
05-13
05-15
05-16
06-19
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.9 / M0 / H52.1