@FlybyJoe

#2,543,04352

0x8b50c0cfec6a5638abe4a625f07a72ad13799e9e

~12d· 21 markets · 43 tradesVol: $3,2922026-08-05 22:51:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (2/21)0/20
1.47x (win $792 / loss $540)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.30315/15
Sortino 4.98310/10
$+0.2892 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1347 (21 markets)5.8/10
2/10 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($291 / $543)3.3/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,689,198$-109Vol: $1,599
🏛️ POLITICS#105,633$36Vol: $1,483
📢 MENTIONS#147,859$-26Vol: $210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,292
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
24B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
2W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-99
Win Rate
10%
2W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$396
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $792 (8.024229521492295% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$547
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$245

Top Losers

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-260
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-116
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$-20
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-20
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-10
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$-10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-10
Will Trump say "Putin" during the State of the Union address?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.257
HHI
2139
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.254
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.9%
Top-5 markets
88.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.48
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.7%
Mid (20-55c)45.8%
High (>55c)12.5%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 1:52:13 PM7 trades$5190 min
6/23/2026, 5:36:17 AM4 trades$4170 min
6/23/2026, 5:25:07 AM3 trades$4020 min
7/1/2026, 12:57:25 PM3 trades$2290 min
5/21/2026, 2:39:49 AM2 trades$2000 min
5/8/2026, 10:00:55 AM2 trades$1670 min
6/27/2026, 7:52:34 PM2 trades$1470 min
6/24/2026, 10:26:19 PM2 trades$1200 min
7/11/2026, 7:55:19 AM2 trades$430 min
7/14/2026, 8:46:58 PM2 trades$400 min
6/8/2026, 5:22:37 PM2 trades$330 min
1/31/2026, 8:27:22 PM2 trades$301 min
2/14/2026, 5:51:35 PM7 trades$265 min
1/16/2026, 7:58:10 PM1 trades$100 min
1/31/2026, 8:34:40 PM2 trades$101 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-31
02-14
05-08
05-21
06-08
06-23
06-24
07-01
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.48/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.7 / M45.8 / H12.5