@Forbes3

#291,93222

0xc14d91c8d4595d892e9f523f119732519e383f2b

~11d· 17 markets · 88 tradesVol: $24,3722026-08-04 18:57:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (4/7)13.6/20
0.37x (win $140 / loss $376)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0412 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1886 (7 markets)3.1/10
3/6 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 269% of peak ($376 / $140)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+61
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#193,054$7Vol: $21,592
SPORTS#159,273$54Vol: $2,780

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$61
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,372
Total Redeem
$787
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
50B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Week
$-14
Vol: $1,924
Month
$-14
Vol: $1,924
All Time
$61
Vol: $24,372

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
4W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$61
Win Rate
57%
4W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-125

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $133 (2.1716101694915255% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: FC Zlín (-2.5)$71
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)$34
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)$28
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$7

Top Losers

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$-173
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$-155
Spread: Albania (-2.5)$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.378
Sortino
-0.586
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.9m
between trades
Night Trading
65%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)65% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)64%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 7:13:01 AM6 trades$1,0551 min
6/3/2026, 8:29:32 AM6 trades$1,0485 min
7/25/2026, 2:37:01 AM3 trades$9650 min
7/25/2026, 5:37:06 AM3 trades$9600 min
7/11/2026, 5:35:53 AM4 trades$9400 min
4/26/2026, 6:13:52 AM8 trades$8786 min
6/23/2026, 3:47:16 AM4 trades$7950 min
6/23/2026, 5:32:23 AM4 trades$7900 min
6/20/2026, 5:24:07 AM4 trades$5750 min
5/23/2026, 5:36:00 AM2 trades$5150 min
5/23/2026, 6:29:33 AM2 trades$5100 min
5/30/2026, 2:24:42 AM2 trades$5000 min
8/3/2026, 7:17:21 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/23/2026, 6:16:13 AM2 trades$4790 min
5/30/2026, 4:02:32 AM3 trades$4751 min
8/3/2026, 7:51:35 AM1 trades$4420 min
4/26/2026, 5:50:18 AM4 trades$4380 min
4/12/2026, 2:07:05 AM4 trades$3462 min
4/12/2026, 5:36:05 AM4 trades$3421 min
4/12/2026, 5:27:07 AM4 trades$3241 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-26
05-23
05-28
06-03
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36 / M0 / H64