Forch

@Forch

#108,32146

0x6ca0cfe4ed627cb4ebe0193e69de9823a007e59d

~365d· 901 markets · 4817 tradesVol: $368,574 @forc_h2026-08-04 18:03:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (496/865)13.7/20
1.08x (win $20,960 / loss $19,373)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3406.4/15
Sortino 0.4554.5/10
$+0.0144 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 151 (865 markets)10/10
164/273 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($5,470 / $6,584)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+578
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$110,415 invested
Consistent
164/273 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,960$-733Vol: $113,989
📢 MENTIONS#909$1,538Vol: $67,830
SPORTS#1,808,322$-642Vol: $63,701
CRYPTO#42,324$522Vol: $48,073
💰 FINANCE#8,098$397Vol: $38,516
💻 TECH#246,784$-72Vol: $14,306
🎭 CULTURE#12,652$234Vol: $10,582
📈 ECONOMICS#675,489$-482Vol: $8,006
🌤️ WEATHER#286,925$-120Vol: $3,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$578
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$368,574
Total Redeem
$2,392
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
901
total markets
Trades
3557B / 1260S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~365d

Periods

#2
Today
$21
Vol: $338
Week
$61
Vol: $2,044
Month
$44
Vol: $3,945
All Time
$578
Vol: $368,574

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
496W / 369L events
Realized PnL
$578
Win Rate
57%
496W / 369L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,432 (11.128704648869359% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,846
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,596
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$990
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$845
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$773
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$728
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$594
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$583
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$551
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$442

Top Losers

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-2,574
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,198
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,365
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,059
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?$-692
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-680
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-476
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-473
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-424
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-406

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.016
HHI
200
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 992s — normal for humanCV 3.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.59
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.1%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)53.1%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 5:01:19 PM58 trades$6,81013 min
6/9/2026, 2:46:34 PM14 trades$3,2503 min
5/26/2026, 10:50:28 AM31 trades$2,6219 min
3/24/2026, 5:01:23 PM35 trades$2,61017 min
6/10/2026, 11:19:01 AM17 trades$2,2204 min
3/31/2026, 6:00:25 PM48 trades$1,90320 min
5/6/2026, 8:26:14 PM3 trades$1,6090 min
5/20/2026, 2:16:52 PM8 trades$1,4674 min
4/1/2026, 11:19:33 AM2 trades$1,3442 min
5/20/2026, 2:25:51 PM8 trades$1,3382 min
2/23/2026, 10:57:34 AM5 trades$1,3278 min
3/24/2026, 6:53:21 PM16 trades$1,1974 min
5/2/2026, 9:18:54 AM30 trades$1,1744 min
3/10/2026, 5:53:15 PM8 trades$1,08211 min
5/23/2026, 8:38:59 AM2 trades$1,0670 min
3/31/2026, 5:44:21 PM20 trades$9498 min
2/25/2026, 3:43:06 AM1 trades$8970 min
3/3/2026, 9:14:43 PM6 trades$8382 min
3/18/2026, 1:33:45 PM4 trades$7822 min
7/1/2026, 8:03:13 PM5 trades$7442 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
09-29
11-24
01-15
03-19
05-21
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.1 / M24.9 / H53.1