@Fran.sf

#107,58714

0x7bec34429c3ae978d8e09707e383cfde61703fe8

~33d· 44 markets · 423 tradesVol: $72,2962026-08-05 18:26:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (16/42)4/20
0.66x (win $3,069 / loss $4,663)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9480/15
Sortino -3.2590/10
$-0.1479 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1016 (42 markets)7.4/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,914 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+589

Categories

3
SPORTS#73,067$297Vol: $52,990
🏛️ POLITICS#37,164$283Vol: $18,610
💰 FINANCE#58,161$9Vol: $696

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$589
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,296
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
129B / 294S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
16W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$589
Win Rate
38%
16W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$192
Avg Loss
$-222

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,975 (3.3549028268551235% of PnL)

Top Winners

Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$848
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$651
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$476
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$470
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$204
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$98
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$66
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$51
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$45
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$43

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,244
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,405
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score$-300
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-142
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-68
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-64
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$-64
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$-58
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.151
Sortino
-0.129
HHI
1835
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
86%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5881s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity12 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)57.4%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 8:26:34 PM7 trades$2,1702 min
6/29/2026, 4:23:49 PM4 trades$2,0484 min
7/7/2026, 4:02:25 AM3 trades$1,3320 min
6/27/2026, 3:07:35 AM13 trades$1,2102 min
6/17/2026, 3:37:51 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/26/2026, 5:50:17 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/24/2026, 3:33:46 AM12 trades$9934 min
7/8/2026, 5:16:43 PM2 trades$9210 min
6/27/2026, 5:27:19 AM2 trades$8890 min
7/10/2026, 3:36:08 AM3 trades$8400 min
6/6/2026, 9:44:25 PM5 trades$7450 min
7/10/2026, 7:12:52 PM2 trades$6410 min
7/10/2026, 8:50:53 PM2 trades$6410 min
6/26/2026, 2:36:55 PM6 trades$6221 min
6/27/2026, 3:19:47 AM2 trades$5920 min
6/8/2026, 2:42:13 AM2 trades$5640 min
7/2/2026, 8:13:55 PM8 trades$5040 min
6/16/2026, 2:37:58 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/16/2026, 10:02:35 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/7/2026, 2:34:04 PM4 trades$4710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-13
06-17
06-21
06-26
06-30
07-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.7 / M20.9 / H57.4