FridayNight

@FridayNight

#3,071,68359

0xfa323e40632edca701abc6c8cf1f82175909bd9a

~471d· 1047 markets · 15909 tradesVol: $7,792,666 @FridayNtrades2026-08-04 20:39:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (539/1013)11.6/20
1.20x (win $556,284 / loss $461,684)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.74614/15
Sortino 1.52010/10
$+0.0299 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 81 (1013 markets)10/10
184/325 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 116% of peak ($118,316 / $101,741)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$3,165,326 invested
High Roller
$5,024/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,865$-68,697Vol: $4,566,659
📈 ECONOMICS#516$12,629Vol: $695,068
🎭 CULTURE#1,083$7,556Vol: $678,983
SPORTS#1,881,597$-30,009Vol: $566,763
CRYPTO#6,734$7,229Vol: $378,227
💻 TECH#274$7,313Vol: $376,957
💰 FINANCE#1,115$4,836Vol: $339,371
📢 MENTIONS#832$1,727Vol: $40,279
🌤️ WEATHER#280,305$-68Vol: $19,992

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47,102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,792,666
Total Redeem
$140,387
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1047
total markets
Trades
12837B / 3072S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~471d

Periods

#2
Today
$-864
Vol: $0
Week
$-844
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,055
Vol: $0
All Time
$-47,102
Vol: $7,792,666

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
538W / 474L events
Realized PnL
$-47,094
Win Rate
53%
538W / 474L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$1,032
Avg Loss
$-978

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $193,317 (4.104890556656304% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$99,638
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$61,770
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$31,909
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$12,853
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $12,810
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$9,893
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9,709
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$8,021
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$7,702
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$5,839

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-24,471
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-21,810
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-13,062
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-12,343
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-11,294
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-11,046
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-9,912
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$-9,252
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-9,072
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-8,730

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.057
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.7m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 3.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)50.3%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:26:05 PM5 trades$36,2100 min
2/21/2026, 6:59:56 AM1 trades$28,3830 min
7/1/2025, 8:50:47 PM8 trades$27,7193 min
6/14/2026, 9:04:55 PM9 trades$23,2840 min
2/18/2026, 10:34:06 PM30 trades$21,72712 min
7/8/2026, 11:08:56 PM11 trades$21,6161 min
6/10/2026, 3:51:30 AM19 trades$20,5073 min
7/8/2025, 10:49:51 PM1 trades$19,9600 min
1/7/2026, 1:43:55 AM23 trades$19,28619 min
2/28/2026, 6:26:07 AM51 trades$18,35815 min
1/13/2026, 3:07:07 PM2 trades$18,1700 min
1/16/2026, 7:53:18 AM1 trades$18,1320 min
6/14/2026, 9:14:36 PM30 trades$16,45219 min
1/14/2026, 6:26:58 PM26 trades$16,4219 min
5/6/2025, 6:26:29 PM12 trades$15,81016 min
10/30/2025, 12:59:09 AM17 trades$14,81610 min
10/28/2025, 6:31:27 PM5 trades$14,7679 min
11/4/2025, 8:44:45 PM2 trades$14,4734 min
3/16/2026, 12:55:53 AM7 trades$14,4407 min
6/11/2026, 4:28:54 PM2 trades$14,3240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
04-13
07-10
10-03
12-30
04-01
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 157 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.3 / M21.4 / H50.3