George.Smiley

@George.Smiley

#3,34191

0x2110ba2a1e18840109482ff4ddc547baeff45850

~225d· 242 markets · 3886 tradesVol: $1,741,1652026-08-05 15:50:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (154/228)18.8/20
2.05x (win $126,181 / loss $61,538)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.74815/15
Sortino 7.20310/10
$+0.0735 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 385 (228 markets)10/10
69/110 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($10,950 / $71,569)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+54,086
DCA Master
Avg 17.3 entries/market
Whale
$879,541 invested
Consistent
69/110 profitable days
High Roller
$2,757/day
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

9
💻 TECH#104$16,733Vol: $650,252
💰 FINANCE#150$27,381Vol: $584,307
🏛️ POLITICS#3,085$12,922Vol: $449,581
📈 ECONOMICS#681,978$-3,337Vol: $50,598
SPORTS#114,557$113Vol: $2,759
🎭 CULTURE#735,807$-24Vol: $1,670
📢 MENTIONS#160,807$-73Vol: $1,051
🌤️ WEATHER#238,502$-8Vol: $497
CRYPTO#84,606$116Vol: $450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$53,822
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,741,165
Total Redeem
$31,460
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
242
total markets
Trades
3048B / 838S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~225d

Periods

#2
Today
$75
Vol: $0
Week
$-328
Vol: $13,172
Month
$-153
Vol: $13,372
All Time
$53,822
Vol: $1,741,165

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
154W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$54,086
Win Rate
68%
154W / 74L
Profit Factor
2.05x
Avg Win
$819
Avg Loss
$-843

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58,496 (1.0815524703678443% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$23,666
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$23,500
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$11,330
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$9,358
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?$8,334
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$5,506
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$5,022
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?$4,398
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$2,410
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$2,276

Top Losers

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$-10,950
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$-5,859
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$-4,959
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$-4,393
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$-4,122
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$-3,575
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-3,099
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-2,977
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-2,928
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-2,481

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.143
Sortino
0.269
HHI
369
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.072
Kelly %
22.1%
Half-Kelly
11.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
33%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 498s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)65.5%

Sessions

#12
2/12/2026, 10:37:35 AM3 trades$23,5054 min
11/14/2025, 7:13:04 PM1 trades$22,3110 min
11/22/2025, 12:07:05 PM11 trades$20,4950 min
12/17/2025, 9:43:43 AM19 trades$18,36020 min
12/6/2025, 12:29:31 AM2 trades$17,9920 min
2/20/2026, 3:39:04 PM36 trades$17,51050 min
1/22/2026, 4:54:30 PM5 trades$15,90014 min
12/16/2025, 9:04:51 AM31 trades$14,94744 min
1/19/2026, 2:47:18 PM9 trades$14,43010 min
11/5/2025, 2:47:59 PM4 trades$14,3401 min
5/13/2026, 8:47:00 PM13 trades$13,1421 min
12/16/2025, 12:56:05 PM14 trades$13,12617 min
2/15/2026, 1:16:25 PM1 trades$12,9000 min
5/18/2026, 9:47:42 AM15 trades$12,7412 min
6/19/2026, 4:26:26 PM38 trades$11,3050 min
10/15/2025, 7:48:29 PM5 trades$11,1061 min
5/8/2026, 5:45:00 PM2 trades$9,9250 min
2/13/2026, 10:28:59 PM1 trades$9,6900 min
2/15/2026, 2:34:11 PM1 trades$9,5000 min
11/20/2025, 8:39:49 PM3 trades$9,1658 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
12-11
01-23
03-02
04-16
05-30
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.4 / M19.1 / H65.5