@GeraldHorton485

#1,445,99340

0x7426c8b1e099672811991dc8a2e5b414b890a548

~76d· 88 markets · 146 tradesVol: $2,9262026-08-05 02:23:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (63/88)20/20
0.31x (win $2 / loss $5)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4900/15
Sortino -2.4820/10
$-0.0093 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 348 (88 markets)10/10
50/72 profitable days (69%)9.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Consistent
50/72 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#591,820$-2Vol: $1,931
🏛️ POLITICS#934,453$-1Vol: $650
💰 FINANCE#141,812$1Vol: $258
₿ CRYPTO#519,181$0Vol: $64
📈 ECONOMICS#220,087$0Vol: $20
💻 TECH#122,786$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,926
Total Redeem
$14
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
101B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $2,926

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
63W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
72%
63W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.11983471074380167% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$0
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$0
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$0
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $158 end of February?$0
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 end of January?$0
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$0
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-3
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.129
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
302
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
29.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
11.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34420s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.77
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 8:56:57 AM2 trades$500 min
6/30/2026, 3:29:20 AM2 trades$290 min
12/28/2025, 1:30:15 AM1 trades$250 min
5/30/2026, 4:54:41 AM2 trades$150 min
11/22/2025, 5:13:59 AM1 trades$140 min
5/30/2026, 5:52:21 PM2 trades$130 min
5/13/2026, 9:52:17 AM2 trades$120 min
5/16/2026, 9:05:14 AM2 trades$120 min
11/22/2025, 4:24:03 AM1 trades$110 min
1/23/2026, 8:15:22 PM1 trades$90 min
11/22/2025, 4:35:59 PM1 trades$70 min
4/13/2026, 11:33:15 PM2 trades$70 min
2/24/2026, 11:59:08 PM1 trades$70 min
4/21/2026, 4:50:38 PM2 trades$70 min
12/23/2025, 2:23:43 PM1 trades$70 min
5/18/2026, 7:40:55 AM2 trades$60 min
6/27/2026, 8:27:29 PM2 trades$60 min
5/20/2026, 7:27:29 AM2 trades$50 min
1/19/2026, 7:32:16 AM1 trades$50 min
1/12/2026, 3:47:56 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
01-19
02-23
03-24
04-23
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M0 / H97