@Gisborne

#2,400,16218

0x4e1dbb4e61a4510f19db4c189cbef3878b80facb

~13d· 16 markets · 90 tradesVol: $19,9622026-08-04 22:09:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (4/9)7.2/20
0.16x (win $209 / loss $1,346)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.3820/15
Sortino -8.4930/10
$-0.1460 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1719 (9 markets)3.9/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 3755% of peak ($1,346 / $36)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#288,618$2Vol: $15,510
SPORTS#1,600,503$-53Vol: $4,052
💻 TECH#221,604$-7Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,962
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
65B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Month
$-7
Vol: $400
All Time
$-58
Vol: $19,962

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
4W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-58
Win Rate
44%
4W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-269

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202 (3.4906832298136643% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$91
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$82
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$29
Spread: South Africa (-2.5)$7

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-882
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?$-306
Spread: IK Start (-2.5)$-83
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)$-48
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.455
Sortino
-0.400
HHI
856
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.244
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.8%
Top-5 markets
56.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
64%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 247s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)64% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)56.9%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 3:02:07 AM4 trades$1,0550 min
5/6/2026, 11:04:02 AM4 trades$9600 min
6/17/2026, 7:14:37 AM5 trades$9072 min
4/20/2026, 7:17:58 AM4 trades$7800 min
5/23/2026, 2:22:13 AM2 trades$5150 min
5/21/2026, 2:49:29 AM4 trades$5100 min
7/14/2026, 3:25:49 AM4 trades$4932 min
5/23/2026, 3:05:10 AM1 trades$4800 min
5/21/2026, 5:09:30 AM1 trades$4750 min
7/14/2026, 2:31:47 AM2 trades$4600 min
6/26/2026, 1:54:04 AM2 trades$4150 min
6/26/2026, 5:28:35 AM2 trades$4150 min
6/23/2026, 2:32:04 AM2 trades$4100 min
6/26/2026, 6:40:37 AM2 trades$3951 min
6/23/2026, 9:21:43 AM1 trades$3850 min
6/26/2026, 3:06:31 AM1 trades$3530 min
6/18/2026, 2:49:20 AM2 trades$2300 min
6/18/2026, 6:59:05 AM1 trades$2150 min
6/17/2026, 9:51:14 AM1 trades$2110 min
5/25/2026, 2:16:12 AM2 trades$950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-20
05-06
05-25
06-17
06-23
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.1 / M0 / H56.9