@Greenhug617

#2,819,86910

0x21b3d4f4375f97bc96d2b00985a6eae9ef53793d

~28d· 36 markets · 365 tradesVol: $44,8002026-08-05 00:38:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (10/35)0/20
0.85x (win $66 / loss $78)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5500/15
Sortino -2.3430/10
$-0.0029 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 631 (35 markets)9.3/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 160% of peak ($31 / $19)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#648,074$-386Vol: $23,693
🎭 CULTURE#80,144$7Vol: $21,084
🏛️ POLITICS#1,351,326$-17Vol: $21
SPORTS#959,118$-1Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-397
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,800
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
114B / 251S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,367
Vol: $1,318
Week
$1,144
Vol: $1,318
Month
$1,032
Vol: $1,318
All Time
$-397
Vol: $44,800

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
10W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-397
Win Rate
29%
10W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (0.1355675948091218% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$11
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-10
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-3
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.153
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 401s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)2.6%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 9:50:24 PM14 trades$6985 min
7/26/2026, 5:08:40 PM10 trades$6894 min
6/17/2026, 10:16:35 PM15 trades$6694 min
7/4/2026, 10:49:53 AM15 trades$6134 min
7/31/2026, 8:52:12 AM2 trades$5600 min
7/31/2026, 9:03:33 AM2 trades$5190 min
7/24/2026, 9:50:15 AM4 trades$4160 min
7/29/2026, 1:47:12 PM6 trades$3730 min
7/3/2026, 11:55:28 AM3 trades$3710 min
7/3/2026, 12:02:47 PM2 trades$3710 min
7/3/2026, 12:10:14 PM6 trades$3640 min
7/3/2026, 11:42:53 PM6 trades$3490 min
7/20/2026, 6:22:12 AM9 trades$3290 min
7/17/2026, 1:46:57 PM12 trades$3220 min
6/21/2026, 12:01:58 AM7 trades$3150 min
7/20/2026, 6:43:09 AM6 trades$3100 min
7/2/2026, 7:49:13 PM11 trades$3090 min
7/3/2026, 5:57:49 PM6 trades$3060 min
4/6/2026, 6:00:23 PM8 trades$3020 min
7/31/2026, 8:57:48 AM4 trades$3010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-01
03-02
03-03
03-05
03-06
03-07
03-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.3 / M21.1 / H2.6