@GreyWizzard

#2,768,78073

0xce1ecec86956f4b456ea49b28467f8ccbbddd671

~12d· 49 markets · 183 tradesVol: $23,7712026-08-04 22:58:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (25/49)10.5/20
1.89x (win $7,571 / loss $4,008)13.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.91315/15
Sortino 16.01210/10
$+0.6355 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1768 (49 markets)3.7/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($1,993 / $3,805)3.5/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,749,434$-227Vol: $13,300
CRYPTO#1,397,958$-53Vol: $10,472

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-280
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,771
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
62B / 121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
25W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-280
Win Rate
51%
25W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$303
Avg Loss
$-200

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,266 (18.794889182340555% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$3,190
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$1,100
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$976
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$341
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$233
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$212
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$192
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$182
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$176
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$147

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-880
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-600
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-400
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-400
New Zealand to win the second half?$-200
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-200
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$-200
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-192
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-190
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-190

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.246
Sortino
0.757
HHI
1430
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.492
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
62.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 231s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)51.6%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 1:05:25 PM52 trades$12,53025 min
6/15/2026, 6:17:55 PM2 trades$1,6930 min
6/17/2026, 1:45:38 PM22 trades$1,11512 min
6/22/2026, 8:06:40 PM9 trades$8236 min
6/21/2026, 11:04:52 PM6 trades$7425 min
6/16/2026, 1:24:34 AM6 trades$6394 min
6/25/2026, 9:10:31 AM4 trades$6001 min
7/6/2026, 9:44:46 PM9 trades$5470 min
6/21/2026, 10:34:37 PM4 trades$4650 min
6/21/2026, 10:11:55 PM2 trades$4500 min
6/17/2026, 12:30:52 AM13 trades$3472 min
6/27/2026, 6:59:49 PM2 trades$3260 min
6/26/2026, 10:06:19 PM4 trades$3170 min
6/25/2026, 12:20:16 AM4 trades$2771 min
6/23/2026, 10:07:52 AM4 trades$2651 min
6/24/2026, 9:42:08 AM6 trades$2322 min
6/23/2026, 9:22:02 PM2 trades$1850 min
6/17/2026, 12:59:41 AM7 trades$1420 min
6/28/2026, 1:50:07 PM4 trades$1390 min
6/28/2026, 1:41:20 PM3 trades$1320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-17
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.2 / M24.2 / H51.6