@Guessingkbn-wx
#111,614210x859c09ad24cb3c072c5427579e1da0cb8e1a6eaf
~126d· 398 markets · 1858 tradesVol: $50,7302026-08-05 16:38:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (172/394)6.8/20
0.80x (win $1,201 / loss $1,506)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6260/15
Sortino -2.0530/10
$-0.1055 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 166 (394 markets)10/10
55/114 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 255% of peak ($539 / $211)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+536
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#2,427$543Vol: $50,712
🏛️ POLITICS#510,978$0Vol: $18
Overview
#1Net PnL
$544
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,730
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
398
total markets
Trades
958B / 900S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d
Periods
#2Today
$10
Vol: $277
Week
$-7
Vol: $3,168
Month
$-37
Vol: $3,649
All Time
$544
Vol: $50,730
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
172W / 222L events
Realized PnL
$536
Win Rate
44%
172W / 222L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $302 (0.5636923651297367% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?$105
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 1?$82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?$75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?$69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?$38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 25?$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?$24
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?$-142
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 16?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$-33
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.091
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
19.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1026s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)33.5%
Sessions
#124/1/2026, 10:56:21 AM21 trades$5414 min
5/3/2026, 4:16:34 PM26 trades$4070 min
6/15/2026, 5:49:42 AM27 trades$2460 min
5/6/2026, 3:29:19 PM9 trades$2210 min
6/6/2026, 11:17:52 AM20 trades$1956 min
5/3/2026, 5:16:38 AM12 trades$1912 min
4/1/2026, 12:53:13 PM13 trades$1460 min
5/3/2026, 9:24:14 AM11 trades$1372 min
6/12/2026, 2:27:12 PM14 trades$1331 min
6/9/2026, 7:23:22 AM5 trades$1200 min
6/13/2026, 1:43:54 PM21 trades$1135 min
5/11/2026, 8:46:08 AM7 trades$1122 min
6/6/2026, 9:13:30 AM8 trades$1111 min
6/11/2026, 1:46:25 PM6 trades$1101 min
6/8/2026, 5:10:30 PM5 trades$1090 min
8/3/2026, 12:32:42 PM19 trades$1015 min
8/3/2026, 9:28:03 AM8 trades$960 min
4/24/2026, 3:12:44 PM17 trades$901 min
6/8/2026, 9:26:49 PM5 trades$890 min
6/19/2026, 5:44:52 AM6 trades$810 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-14
03-05
03-26
05-07
06-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 79 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.8 / M29.6 / H33.5