@Guray

#3,056,49764

0xda179b2ebef1c02f50a28efd5dd57b3834ea9b48

~80d· 558 markets · 3616 tradesVol: $480,6652026-08-04 22:34:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (286/557)10.7/20
1.24x (win $45,271 / loss $36,414)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81915/15
Sortino 2.48410/10
$+0.0408 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 175 (557 markets)10/10
52/77 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 64% of peak ($8,640 / $13,446)1.1/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Whale
$217,099 invested
Consistent
52/77 profitable days
High Roller
$1,383/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,875,177$-7,385Vol: $323,409
🎭 CULTURE#805,307$-483Vol: $114,600
CRYPTO#1,537,662$-205Vol: $19,275
🏛️ POLITICS#1,502,070$-79Vol: $9,881
📢 MENTIONS#174,614$-799Vol: $4,293
💰 FINANCE#552,780$-6Vol: $207
🌤️ WEATHER#56,484$1Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,869
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$480,665
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
558
total markets
Trades
1873B / 1743S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$-284
Vol: $4,353
Week
$-268
Vol: $6,798
Month
$-151
Vol: $8,898
All Time
$-8,869
Vol: $480,665

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
285W / 271L events
Realized PnL
$-8,516
Win Rate
51%
285W / 271L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$158
Avg Loss
$-145

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,128 (1.6590553335501848% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$8,282
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$3,774
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$2,072
Knicks vs. Spurs$1,824
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$1,783
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$1,555
Knicks vs. 76ers$1,553
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$1,426
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$1,404
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$1,132

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-12,435
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-4,424
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$-3,277
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-2,226
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-1,910
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$-1,800
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$-1,099
Exact Score: FC Voluntari 2 - 2 FC Botoşani?$-952
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-853
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-717

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.082
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.0
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 2.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity23 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)62.4%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 2:05:07 AM11 trades$14,9460 min
5/19/2026, 6:34:42 PM8 trades$9,3480 min
5/18/2026, 4:15:58 PM2 trades$6,0420 min
5/19/2026, 7:59:42 PM13 trades$5,9091 min
5/18/2026, 8:33:45 PM16 trades$5,5924 min
5/13/2026, 1:36:47 AM21 trades$5,08619 min
4/27/2026, 2:54:42 PM2 trades$4,3480 min
4/25/2026, 12:09:44 PM53 trades$4,1153 min
4/27/2026, 6:47:58 PM30 trades$4,1063 min
5/9/2026, 2:43:59 PM18 trades$3,88117 min
4/25/2026, 1:16:50 PM7 trades$3,8160 min
5/5/2026, 5:42:38 PM30 trades$3,6003 min
4/30/2026, 1:55:56 AM16 trades$3,3532 min
4/28/2026, 3:20:16 PM9 trades$3,1942 min
4/25/2026, 11:19:14 PM18 trades$3,1560 min
5/19/2026, 8:07:22 PM25 trades$3,1043 min
4/28/2026, 12:42:20 PM11 trades$3,0217 min
7/18/2026, 2:54:30 PM4 trades$2,9970 min
4/26/2026, 9:52:36 PM13 trades$2,9380 min
5/3/2026, 9:03:16 AM22 trades$2,8716 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-14
04-25
05-07
05-19
07-16
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.7 / M18.8 / H62.4