@Guy013

#2,307,57310

0x8111a3bec53074fa3c486db6338334f0b9f4c153

~5d· 22 markets · 221 tradesVol: $18,3952026-08-04 15:18:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (7/20)2.5/20
0.36x (win $188 / loss $520)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.3605 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1090 (20 markets)7/10
0/3 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($331 / $0)0/10

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#169,671$48Vol: $11,418
💰 FINANCE#560,084$-7Vol: $3,379
₿ CRYPTO#1,445,785$-83Vol: $2,951
🏛️ POLITICS#336,958$1Vol: $513
🎭 CULTURE#551,718$-1Vol: $133

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,395
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
61B / 160S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-43
Vol: $18,395

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
7W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-43
Win Rate
35%
7W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (3.219930475086906% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$6
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$4

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-210
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-98
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-26
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$-20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$-20
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$-17
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.840
Sortino
-0.840
HHI
2498
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.303
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.4%
Top-5 markets
87.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
55s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.8m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 55s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)60.7%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 3:09:54 PM91 trades$1,85521 min
6/14/2026, 7:02:55 PM49 trades$1,1089 min
6/13/2026, 9:47:49 PM32 trades$1,06811 min
6/14/2026, 8:23:37 PM11 trades$5251 min
7/19/2026, 6:14:09 PM4 trades$3190 min
6/14/2026, 4:55:46 PM6 trades$764 min
6/13/2026, 11:41:55 PM7 trades$653 min
6/13/2026, 10:21:49 PM3 trades$620 min
6/14/2026, 12:07:12 AM5 trades$544 min
6/14/2026, 12:18:42 AM3 trades$270 min
6/14/2026, 9:23:51 AM4 trades$120 min
6/15/2026, 10:07:54 PM2 trades$80 min
7/9/2026, 8:00:13 PM2 trades$50 min
6/14/2026, 12:01:45 AM2 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-14
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M18 / H60.7