@Hague

#2,487,01517

0x64ec2ace76a76c652182e7f2e023adcece7421ff

~12d· 15 markets · 78 tradesVol: $26,1982026-08-04 18:10:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (5/11)7.7/20
0.11x (win $84 / loss $780)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.7640/15
Sortino -12.2630/10
$-0.1472 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1094 (11 markets)7/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 934% of peak ($780 / $84)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,364,137$-18Vol: $24,472
SPORTS#1,623,924$-63Vol: $1,726

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-81
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,198
Total Redeem
$320
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
50B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $7,350
Month
$1
Vol: $7,350
All Time
$-81
Vol: $26,198

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
5W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-81
Win Rate
45%
5W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-130

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $73 (0.8992390770741285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$33
Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30?$21
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)$19
Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)$7
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?$-215
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$-185
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-114
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-109
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?$-81
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)$-76

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.783
Sortino
-1.218
HHI
951
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.201
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.4%
Top-5 markets
61.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 67s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.18
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)64%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 6:39:27 AM4 trades$1,0300 min
6/7/2026, 6:06:28 AM5 trades$1,0234 min
6/9/2026, 5:11:40 AM4 trades$9600 min
7/21/2026, 3:17:12 AM4 trades$9230 min
8/3/2026, 9:27:08 AM4 trades$9050 min
6/20/2026, 7:26:10 AM10 trades$5742 min
6/18/2026, 6:08:10 AM4 trades$5401 min
5/2/2026, 5:30:42 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/3/2026, 6:28:06 AM2 trades$4680 min
5/6/2026, 6:37:04 AM2 trades$4650 min
5/6/2026, 12:47:14 PM5 trades$4581 min
5/3/2026, 7:12:38 AM1 trades$4570 min
5/2/2026, 6:33:26 AM2 trades$4550 min
5/2/2026, 6:26:10 AM1 trades$4470 min
7/1/2026, 6:43:49 AM2 trades$4350 min
4/12/2026, 5:19:01 AM2 trades$3200 min
4/12/2026, 7:09:43 AM2 trades$3200 min
7/1/2026, 8:17:59 AM3 trades$3140 min
4/12/2026, 7:03:43 AM1 trades$3130 min
6/9/2026, 4:23:04 AM2 trades$891 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
05-02
05-03
05-06
06-04
06-07
06-09
06-18
06-20
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36 / M0 / H64