Halsta

@Halsta

#2,886,38315

0xd46c4121d33dd7990d1db59e413c46c77016b32d

~41d· 40 markets · 162 tradesVol: $92,611 @Kolot862026-08-04 21:49:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (20/39)10.6/20
0.47x (win $595 / loss $1,257)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1470/15
Sortino -4.1840/10
$-0.0897 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2392 (39 markets)0.5/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 522% of peak ($876 / $168)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,243,562$-9Vol: $53,393
⚽ SPORTS#1,810,102$-640Vol: $17,228
₿ CRYPTO#1,300,425$-25Vol: $15,590
📈 ECONOMICS#86,415$2Vol: $3,980
💰 FINANCE#567,565$-9Vol: $2,420

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-681
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,611
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
89B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
20W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-681
Win Rate
51%
20W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $256 (0.37626377496368246% of PnL)

Top Winners

Red Wings vs. Kings$121
Nets vs. Raptors$68
Kings vs. Warriors$68
Super Bowl LIX Winner$54
Kings vs. Lakers$47
Chargers vs. Falcons$45
Vikings vs. Rams$41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?$34
Bills vs. Jets$27
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25

Top Losers

Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-500
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets$-370
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$-89
Warriors vs. Rockets$-50
Panthers vs. Kings$-50
Pacers vs. Magic$-49
Broncos vs. Saints$-40
Shaq's OGs vs. Candace's Rising Stars$-35
Knicks vs. Celtics$-25
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.213
Sortino
-0.179
HHI
1700
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.092
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.4%
Top-5 markets
73%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)49.4%

Sessions

#12
12/6/2025, 2:16:57 PM35 trades$3,97236 min
12/7/2025, 2:23:17 PM16 trades$1,94615 min
12/6/2025, 3:16:41 PM8 trades$9116 min
10/29/2025, 4:29:05 PM2 trades$5002 min
10/31/2025, 4:49:37 AM1 trades$5000 min
10/31/2025, 4:37:21 PM1 trades$5000 min
12/8/2025, 4:22:37 PM1 trades$4990 min
12/7/2025, 2:43:13 PM1 trades$4520 min
12/7/2025, 2:55:25 PM1 trades$4060 min
6/25/2026, 3:48:52 AM12 trades$2430 min
12/7/2025, 4:27:51 PM3 trades$2384 min
12/8/2025, 4:28:03 PM4 trades$1711 min
12/8/2025, 4:59:27 PM2 trades$1672 min
12/8/2025, 4:35:15 PM2 trades$1503 min
12/8/2025, 4:45:57 PM2 trades$1334 min
10/29/2025, 4:39:01 PM1 trades$1300 min
5/11/2026, 3:55:36 AM7 trades$1210 min
12/6/2025, 4:42:21 PM2 trades$1191 min
10/15/2024, 3:28:57 AM1 trades$770 min
12/6/2025, 3:02:25 PM3 trades$692 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
10-30
12-31
03-25
09-10
12-07
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 303 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.5 / M19.1 / H49.4