@HansBergmann
#2,921,53580xa90248c6ea5e24f20560e0506525d63241ad4bca
~9d· 20 markets · 144 tradesVol: $42,2022026-08-05 02:44:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (4/20)0/20
0.59x (win $3,033 / loss $5,152)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6810/15
Sortino -6.0110/10
$-0.3520 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1003 (20 markets)7.5/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 338% of peak ($3,008 / $889)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,827,342$-966Vol: $42,202
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-966
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,202
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
39B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
20%
4W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-966
Win Rate
20%
4W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$758
Avg Loss
$-343
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,024 (3.130455933343684% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$1,624
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?$1,094
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$306
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?$9
Top Losers
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-1,876
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?$-756
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?$-557
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?$-290
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?$-247
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$-234
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$-212
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?$-200
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$-189
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria?$-174
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.280
Sortino
-0.316
HHI
1260
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.349
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.2%
Top-5 markets
71%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 521s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)35.9%
Sessions
#126/24/2026, 5:02:32 AM9 trades$3,4331 min
6/24/2026, 8:14:14 PM5 trades$3,3892 min
6/24/2026, 6:36:55 PM2 trades$2,5340 min
6/27/2026, 8:25:05 PM18 trades$2,2992 min
6/28/2026, 3:09:01 AM3 trades$2,1250 min
6/24/2026, 8:05:10 PM8 trades$2,1153 min
6/23/2026, 9:52:26 PM8 trades$1,4772 min
6/27/2026, 8:18:59 PM7 trades$1,4500 min
6/29/2026, 8:16:47 AM3 trades$1,2100 min
6/25/2026, 9:34:11 PM11 trades$1,20110 min
6/24/2026, 7:29:32 PM9 trades$1,0731 min
6/23/2026, 8:30:08 PM4 trades$1,0001 min
6/24/2026, 7:39:37 PM2 trades$9000 min
6/24/2026, 7:03:20 PM17 trades$8781 min
6/23/2026, 8:39:28 PM4 trades$6450 min
6/24/2026, 6:25:40 PM2 trades$5820 min
6/28/2026, 2:48:58 AM2 trades$4930 min
6/16/2026, 6:59:14 PM6 trades$4680 min
6/17/2026, 2:14:38 PM2 trades$4040 min
6/20/2026, 9:56:26 PM4 trades$3730 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-17
06-20
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-27
06-28
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41 / M23.1 / H35.9