@Hardcastle
#2,516,694640xa573cf7923d8a8247a20cd408f2aaf8af9c19454
~11d· 16 markets · 100 tradesVol: $25,4782026-08-04 19:42:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
22% (2/9)0/20
4.51x (win $1,629 / loss $361)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.14315/15
Sortino 50.97710/10
$+0.5000 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1660 (9 markets)4.2/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($237 / $1,392)10/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,381,795$-21Vol: $20,768
⚽ SPORTS#1,638,673$-71Vol: $2,870
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-92
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,478
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
65B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
22%
2W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-92
Win Rate
22%
2W / 7L
Profit Factor
4.51x
Avg Win
$815
Avg Loss
$-52
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,629 (17.77039703315881% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$1,554
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$75
Top Losers
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?$-124
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$-77
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$-66
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)$-40
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$-26
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)$-24
Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.298
Sortino
4.596
HHI
1352
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.988
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.3%
Top-5 markets
47.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)49.2%
Sessions
#126/3/2026, 8:46:51 AM4 trades$1,0400 min
5/6/2026, 11:22:26 AM6 trades$9701 min
5/3/2026, 7:12:38 AM4 trades$9450 min
5/2/2026, 8:20:18 AM4 trades$9350 min
4/22/2026, 6:53:26 AM4 trades$9200 min
7/15/2026, 5:51:55 AM6 trades$9151 min
7/4/2026, 5:39:52 AM6 trades$8671 min
6/30/2026, 3:38:38 AM8 trades$8485 min
7/15/2026, 3:17:41 AM4 trades$8351 min
7/4/2026, 7:01:10 AM6 trades$8180 min
6/30/2026, 5:36:44 AM6 trades$8003 min
6/17/2026, 9:07:16 AM4 trades$5650 min
4/18/2026, 2:09:54 AM2 trades$4400 min
6/3/2026, 7:47:19 AM2 trades$811 min
4/22/2026, 3:15:32 AM2 trades$750 min
7/15/2026, 2:15:20 AM2 trades$671 min
4/17/2026, 3:00:20 AM1 trades$660 min
4/17/2026, 2:52:58 AM1 trades$650 min
7/15/2026, 4:16:28 AM2 trades$641 min
7/4/2026, 2:22:05 AM2 trades$610 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-02
05-03
05-06
06-03
06-17
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.8 / M0 / H49.2