HelOskelA

@HelOskelA

#135,34057

0x2ec4371dd4385498166e2370e6aae892a62c75c5

~29d· 23 markets · 121 tradesVol: $9,1922026-08-04 20:20:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (6/17)2.6/20
1.86x (win $324 / loss $174)13.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.67615/15
Sortino 8.99710/10
$+0.0844 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 1579 (17 markets)4.6/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($121 / $270)5.1/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+352
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#67,176$91Vol: $8,311
🎭 CULTURE#11,877$261Vol: $882

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$352
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,192
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
45B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $0
Month
$-53
Vol: $0
All Time
$352
Vol: $9,192

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
6W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$352
Win Rate
35%
6W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $317 (0.900554528650647% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?$286
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$20
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$10
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$0

Top Losers

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$-57
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-36
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-21
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$-20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$-7
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?$-3
Will Monokate win Vidbir 2026?$-3
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$-0
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.425
HHI
270
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.183
Kelly %
1.7%
Half-Kelly
0.8%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
32.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 724s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)40%
High (>55c)35.6%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 11:14:04 PM11 trades$1,0266 min
7/27/2026, 8:36:30 PM9 trades$3430 min
7/30/2026, 6:26:12 PM3 trades$2750 min
7/31/2026, 12:40:02 PM5 trades$2700 min
5/10/2026, 11:25:30 PM9 trades$2693 min
2/9/2026, 4:38:25 PM1 trades$2000 min
5/15/2026, 3:12:40 PM3 trades$2000 min
7/24/2026, 7:20:46 PM5 trades$1660 min
2/18/2026, 6:01:38 PM2 trades$1381 min
7/30/2026, 5:30:20 PM2 trades$1250 min
7/24/2026, 7:14:33 PM6 trades$1080 min
7/24/2026, 7:09:21 PM5 trades$1030 min
2/17/2026, 5:59:07 PM1 trades$970 min
5/11/2026, 7:45:20 PM5 trades$900 min
1/18/2026, 2:59:18 PM1 trades$800 min
5/12/2026, 4:32:21 PM2 trades$790 min
2/21/2026, 2:47:00 PM1 trades$780 min
2/9/2026, 4:26:21 PM1 trades$780 min
5/16/2026, 4:03:19 PM3 trades$720 min
5/16/2026, 9:40:53 PM3 trades$720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
12-09
01-18
01-29
02-18
05-15
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.59/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.4 / M40 / H35.6