Hit-man

@Hit-man

#5,07069

0xb260e618bd5b0351f54cbb6b2370def471af715a

~261d· 1998 markets · 26472 tradesVol: $1,889,1082026-08-04 17:21:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (1083/1991)12.2/20
1.23x (win $94,696 / loss $76,788)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.77015/15
Sortino 3.95510/10
$+0.0378 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 51 (1991 markets)10/10
140/206 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($7,888 / $18,462)5.5/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+33,415
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 13.4 entries/market
Whale
$474,126 invested
Consistent
140/206 profitable days
High Roller
$1,769/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#294$26,864Vol: $1,361,656
CRYPTO#12,427$3,767Vol: $212,334
SPORTS#17,418$2,486Vol: $93,752
🏛️ POLITICS#13,632$1,543Vol: $90,932
💰 FINANCE#655,693$-1,640Vol: $44,906
📈 ECONOMICS#662,064$-113Vol: $8,394
📢 MENTIONS#3,814$219Vol: $5,377
🌤️ WEATHER#87,073$0Vol: $200
💻 TECH#26,715$4Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$33,409
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,889,108
Total Redeem
$19,281
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1998
total markets
Trades
13352B / 13120S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~261d

Periods

#2
Today
$73
Vol: $4,833
Week
$77
Vol: $5,774
Month
$117
Vol: $19,277
All Time
$33,409
Vol: $1,889,108

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
1083W / 908L events
Realized PnL
$33,415
Win Rate
54%
1083W / 908L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$87
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,717 (0.2907881986570176% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$4,121
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$3,079
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2,517
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$1,947
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?$1,922
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1,811
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1,796
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$1,784
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1,744
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$1,496

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$-4,766
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-2,090
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-1,536
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$-1,532
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$-1,344
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$-1,212
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$-1,178
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-1,134
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$-1,039
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-1,013

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.145
Sortino
0.124
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
98.8
Very active
Markets / Day
7.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.2m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
76.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock99 trades/day — mass trading7.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)40.3%
High (>55c)38.2%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 1:38:21 AM5 trades$8,0001 min
6/5/2026, 2:59:57 PM27 trades$6,09115 min
6/1/2026, 5:21:03 AM2 trades$6,0000 min
5/4/2026, 3:50:26 AM62 trades$5,70617 min
4/30/2026, 8:08:18 AM487 trades$5,20446 min
3/11/2026, 8:29:19 AM19 trades$4,22829 min
3/25/2026, 11:12:47 AM11 trades$4,06810 min
6/21/2026, 11:49:31 AM4 trades$4,0020 min
6/8/2026, 2:04:54 AM2 trades$4,0000 min
4/5/2026, 5:39:25 AM88 trades$3,68520 min
4/30/2026, 10:37:14 AM284 trades$3,58244 min
4/30/2026, 10:09:22 AM238 trades$3,45421 min
5/5/2026, 11:04:28 AM253 trades$3,41149 min
4/30/2026, 6:46:04 AM246 trades$3,33264 min
6/17/2026, 7:45:59 AM6 trades$3,3310 min
3/24/2026, 4:45:21 AM2 trades$3,1891 min
5/11/2026, 2:22:58 AM104 trades$3,16610 min
4/30/2026, 2:05:52 PM250 trades$2,98549 min
5/10/2026, 6:13:49 PM161 trades$2,96354 min
4/4/2026, 7:42:39 PM39 trades$2,84612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
01-11
02-19
03-25
05-12
06-22
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.5 / M40.3 / H38.2