@Holla2

#117,42340

0xb8c6f654b57c21b10a2ab6b2bf1b879452c62c0b

~88d· 70 markets · 1980 tradesVol: $1,547,2472026-08-04 18:24:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (46/67)19.3/20
1.02x (win $21,622 / loss $21,265)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0721.4/15
Sortino 0.0910.9/10
$+0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 992 (67 markets)7.5/10
28/44 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 277% of peak ($11,043 / $3,988)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+487
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 29.5 entries/market
Whale
$393,952 invested
Consistent
28/44 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,894$-489Vol: $1,332,176
SPORTS#30,102$1,411Vol: $105,217
📈 ECONOMICS#36,294$13Vol: $13,005
🎭 CULTURE#17,671$132Vol: $3,515
💰 FINANCE#25,158$53Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$487
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,547,247
Total Redeem
$1,020
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
1091B / 889S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $456
Month
$9
Vol: $456
All Time
$487
Vol: $1,547,247

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
46W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$487
Win Rate
69%
46W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$470
Avg Loss
$-1,013

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,667 (21.921001253622148% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$4,321
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$3,569
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$2,777
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$2,248
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$1,291
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1,143
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$1,143
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1,086
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$921
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$694

Top Losers

Will there be a US Government shutdown? $-7,530
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-5,639
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,119
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-2,508
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$-883
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$-500
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-249
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$-127
Eagles vs. Packers$-106
Will Biden resign before inauguration?$-98

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.004
Sortino
0.003
HHI
953
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
30.2%
Half-Kelly
15.1%
Top-1 market
18.1%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.5m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 2.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)35.9%
High (>55c)49.9%

Sessions

#12
12/20/2024, 11:35:02 PM35 trades$34,82927 min
12/20/2024, 7:50:40 PM47 trades$23,51430 min
11/6/2024, 1:45:57 AM25 trades$21,54731 min
12/21/2024, 12:08:08 AM17 trades$20,95512 min
4/29/2025, 9:12:46 AM1 trades$20,6320 min
2/10/2025, 2:41:50 AM2 trades$19,9501 min
11/5/2024, 9:35:19 PM35 trades$12,8383 min
11/26/2024, 12:43:44 AM1 trades$11,7630 min
12/21/2024, 1:01:18 AM3 trades$11,1702 min
11/6/2024, 5:22:43 AM6 trades$10,71814 min
11/9/2024, 4:20:03 PM9 trades$10,3808 min
4/29/2025, 7:39:09 AM2 trades$10,2951 min
4/25/2025, 8:31:49 PM13 trades$10,08918 min
2/10/2025, 3:10:14 AM1 trades$9,9700 min
8/13/2024, 2:26:12 AM1 trades$9,3480 min
8/12/2024, 8:20:43 PM2 trades$9,3000 min
11/27/2024, 12:43:39 AM7 trades$9,2078 min
11/7/2024, 7:25:07 PM7 trades$8,2772 min
11/7/2024, 3:55:25 PM16 trades$8,02616 min
11/6/2024, 2:42:29 PM2 trades$7,9885 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-24
08-06
11-05
11-27
12-13
04-29
02-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 140 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M35.9 / H49.9