@HongKongRainMaker
#3,031,560350xbcb4730759bba5cf0906eba702e22f4cb367da2c
~10d· 172 markets · 2047 tradesVol: $50,2702026-08-04 19:05:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (127/172)20/20
0.65x (win $3,186 / loss $4,929)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1840/15
Sortino -6.8430/10
$-0.0793 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 159 (172 markets)10/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,051 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 74%
DCA Master
Avg 11.9 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,630,985$-1,285Vol: $27,737
🌤️ WEATHER#298,274$-1,500Vol: $11,817
📢 MENTIONS#174,813$-909Vol: $8,234
⚽ SPORTS#144,799$68Vol: $2,322
🏛️ POLITICS#417,502$0Vol: $21
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,641
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,270
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
172
total markets
Trades
726B / 1321S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,641
Vol: $50,270
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
127W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-3,641
Win Rate
74%
127W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-117
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $666 (0.18303824031906304% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2PM ET$396
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$143
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$128
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$93
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$82
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$72
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$69
Top Losers
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-920
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$-784
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-579
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$-558
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$-317
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-299
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$-202
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$-200
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$-134
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-85
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.357
Sortino
-0.266
HHI
155
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
17.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
49.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)85.4%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 10:33:44 PM157 trades$3,21441 min
6/19/2026, 9:08:41 PM110 trades$2,13824 min
6/19/2026, 11:44:55 PM51 trades$1,1955 min
6/19/2026, 4:58:49 PM73 trades$1,10427 min
6/21/2026, 8:35:19 AM9 trades$1,0216 min
6/19/2026, 9:49:10 PM42 trades$9785 min
6/19/2026, 11:24:53 PM52 trades$88614 min
6/20/2026, 12:55:52 AM3 trades$8340 min
6/20/2026, 8:52:16 AM126 trades$82442 min
6/20/2026, 10:03:56 AM268 trades$79955 min
6/19/2026, 10:08:43 PM57 trades$74710 min
6/19/2026, 8:59:46 PM25 trades$5274 min
6/20/2026, 2:28:17 AM10 trades$4800 min
6/21/2026, 7:10:56 PM6 trades$4590 min
6/20/2026, 12:48:17 AM9 trades$4481 min
6/21/2026, 2:14:11 PM7 trades$4224 min
6/19/2026, 9:43:25 PM10 trades$4190 min
6/20/2026, 12:29:16 AM6 trades$3890 min
6/20/2026, 12:19:55 AM9 trades$3850 min
6/20/2026, 12:23:25 PM29 trades$3731 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-26
06-27
06-28
07-19
07-22
07-28
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M11.4 / H85.4