@Horselysirena
#2,533,481140x723d90d487cbb24c9d2062cfbe0d36fc9f52957d
~35d· 28 markets · 63 tradesVol: $12,0922026-08-04 15:18:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (12/26)8.1/20
0.41x (win $159 / loss $382)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6290/15
Sortino -6.8750/10
$-0.3570 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2092 (26 markets)2/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($224 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,134,162$-5Vol: $8,253
⚽ SPORTS#348,659$4Vol: $3,473
₿ CRYPTO#1,461,700$-96Vol: $365
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-97
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,092
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
46B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $77
Week
$-0
Vol: $77
Month
$-1
Vol: $117
All Time
$-97
Vol: $12,092
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
12W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-97
Win Rate
48%
12W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $63 (0.6515088879702355% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bills vs. Chiefs$23
Islanders vs. Ducks$21
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$19
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans$19
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?$19
Cardinals vs. Cowboys$19
Seahawks vs. Jaguars$18
Cowboys vs. Jets$17
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?$1
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?$1
Top Losers
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-39
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET$-35
Vikings vs. Rams$-29
Heat vs. Spurs$-27
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets$-24
Canucks vs. Kraken$-21
Vikings vs. Lions$-21
Ripple above $2.30 on March 21?$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 24?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.340
Sortino
-0.466
HHI
498
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.364
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
34.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 446s — normal for humanCV 0.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)52.2%
High (>55c)21.7%
Sessions
#125/5/2026, 4:56:38 PM5 trades$2120 min
8/4/2026, 1:49:12 PM6 trades$773 min
2/14/2025, 9:55:46 PM2 trades$404 min
6/1/2026, 8:27:52 PM2 trades$400 min
2/16/2026, 1:43:53 PM1 trades$350 min
1/12/2025, 7:17:15 AM1 trades$290 min
2/15/2025, 10:11:30 PM2 trades$271 min
1/22/2025, 1:29:33 AM1 trades$270 min
2/1/2025, 9:38:28 AM1 trades$270 min
12/24/2024, 3:18:22 AM1 trades$240 min
3/1/2025, 6:00:33 AM1 trades$210 min
1/3/2025, 5:35:47 PM1 trades$210 min
3/19/2025, 7:50:59 AM1 trades$210 min
10/12/2025, 6:08:14 AM1 trades$200 min
3/9/2025, 6:33:37 AM1 trades$200 min
4/19/2025, 1:53:09 PM1 trades$200 min
5/16/2025, 7:09:16 AM1 trades$200 min
7/18/2025, 4:36:14 AM1 trades$200 min
8/24/2025, 6:41:59 AM1 trades$200 min
10/4/2025, 4:31:03 AM1 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
01-22
03-01
05-16
10-12
01-01
07-17
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.1 / M52.2 / H21.7