@HouseVornherr
#3,002,966490xb6995e9761151c68241ef14706e01529d3ce4e20
~36d· 159 markets · 3595 tradesVol: $114,2092026-08-05 19:02:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (63/145)6.7/20
1.19x (win $3,407 / loss $2,855)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.56015/15
Sortino 2.58310/10
$+0.0312 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 964 (145 markets)7.7/10
14/33 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($842 / $1,165)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,621,102$-1,035Vol: $59,720
🌤️ WEATHER#296,096$-568Vol: $23,635
🏛️ POLITICS#1,558,725$-188Vol: $21,975
💻 TECH#247,262$-73Vol: $3,880
🎭 CULTURE#787,202$-126Vol: $2,691
⚽ SPORTS#1,557,649$-39Vol: $1,254
💰 FINANCE#632,416$-99Vol: $908
📢 MENTIONS#133,135$-12Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,142
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,209
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
159
total markets
Trades
2789B / 806S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$-23
Vol: $768
Week
$-70
Vol: $3,028
Month
$-128
Vol: $5,329
All Time
$-2,142
Vol: $114,209
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
63W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-2,142
Win Rate
43%
63W / 82L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-35
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,440 (0.6720941848686145% of PnL)
Top Winners
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$544
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$523
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$372
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$165
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$148
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$102
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$90
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$77
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?$75
Top Losers
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-545
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-203
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$-202
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-117
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$-108
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-90
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-63
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-62
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-57
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.080
Sortino
0.113
HHI
1434
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.7%
Top-5 markets
69.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
42.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.6m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
54% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.94
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)59%
High (>55c)37.5%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 11:01:33 AM100 trades$1,14112 min
6/12/2026, 2:53:00 PM93 trades$1,0944 min
6/12/2026, 7:37:58 PM98 trades$1,03319 min
6/12/2026, 1:17:22 PM129 trades$96129 min
6/12/2026, 2:16:24 PM74 trades$79722 min
6/8/2026, 8:53:40 PM47 trades$6696 min
6/12/2026, 4:38:03 PM42 trades$52112 min
6/12/2026, 1:53:07 PM52 trades$4897 min
6/14/2026, 11:11:43 AM66 trades$4876 min
6/13/2026, 10:09:01 PM24 trades$39210 min
6/30/2026, 10:59:53 PM28 trades$3722 min
6/18/2026, 6:05:05 PM42 trades$3691 min
6/18/2026, 7:55:07 PM47 trades$3281 min
6/10/2026, 1:08:36 PM13 trades$2931 min
6/18/2026, 8:05:05 PM41 trades$2776 min
6/18/2026, 5:50:04 PM25 trades$2736 min
7/4/2026, 2:19:20 PM21 trades$2685 min
6/12/2026, 2:07:24 PM29 trades$2673 min
6/18/2026, 8:20:04 PM32 trades$2641 min
6/17/2026, 4:00:52 AM29 trades$2639 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
06-13
06-18
06-30
07-06
07-17
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.5 / M59 / H37.5