How.Dare.You

@How.Dare.You

#3,074,52838

0x4bbe10ba5b7f6df147c0dae17b46c44a6e562cf3

~357d· 1278 markets · 96406 tradesVol: $37,020,6362026-08-04 15:06:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (887/1260)20/20
0.44x (win $1,198,898 / loss $2,702,294)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3400/15
Sortino -2.5270/10
$-0.0877 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 199 (1260 markets)10/10
123/193 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 523% of peak ($1,902,170 / $363,462)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 81.3 entries/market
Whale
$17,148,746 invested
Consistent
123/193 profitable days
High Roller
$30,086/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,279$-306,146Vol: $26,954,298
₿ CRYPTO#1,670,271$-7,053Vol: $2,821,630
💰 FINANCE#658,622$-339,248Vol: $2,308,644
🎭 CULTURE#394$19,914Vol: $1,823,270
📈 ECONOMICS#682,993$-18,529Vol: $1,544,364
💻 TECH#489$3,799Vol: $619,981
⚽ SPORTS#5,827$9,116Vol: $382,472
🌤️ WEATHER#292,166$-248Vol: $41,278
📢 MENTIONS#174,699$-863Vol: $28,316

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-822,242
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,020,636
Total Redeem
$555,675
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1278
total markets
Trades
52772B / 43634S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~357d

Periods

#2
Today
$245
Vol: $0
Week
$404
Vol: $0
Month
$1,943
Vol: $0
All Time
$-822,242
Vol: $37,020,636

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
887W / 373L events
Realized PnL
$-822,261
Win Rate
70%
887W / 373L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$1,352
Avg Loss
$-7,444

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $456,233 (0.5548519092338122% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$248,069
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$110,665
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$97,499
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$44,358
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$31,970
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$27,304
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$27,217
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$19,538
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$19,431
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$18,983

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-395,731
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-270,283
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-258,580
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-199,612
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-193,490
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-150,282
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-131,023
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-129,657
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-126,670
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-113,712

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
223
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
24%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
169.1
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
330 min
Avg Trades / Session
610.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 4.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock169 trades/day — automation2.2 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
81.31
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)74.7%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2025, 2:32:54 PM3727 trades$618,1681644 min
4/10/2025, 6:10:48 AM2418 trades$394,2751012 min
4/9/2025, 4:49:21 AM2053 trades$331,585938 min
4/8/2025, 3:46:02 PM1789 trades$298,167778 min
4/14/2025, 2:15:48 PM1111 trades$218,047556 min
4/10/2025, 11:07:48 PM1349 trades$208,779727 min
4/15/2025, 8:15:39 AM1046 trades$191,667605 min
2/28/2026, 6:26:15 AM188 trades$189,99145 min
2/14/2025, 5:18:16 AM1685 trades$181,320676 min
4/14/2025, 5:03:40 AM898 trades$176,209546 min
2/13/2025, 8:01:59 PM814 trades$172,314551 min
4/11/2025, 11:19:46 AM1025 trades$166,678443 min
4/2/2026, 11:37:53 AM153 trades$163,75058 min
4/13/2025, 8:10:01 PM932 trades$159,752526 min
4/13/2025, 5:33:40 AM951 trades$157,241638 min
2/28/2026, 8:09:13 AM62 trades$152,83715 min
4/17/2025, 9:42:37 AM1010 trades$145,025613 min
4/18/2025, 6:48:54 AM827 trades$138,357631 min
3/31/2026, 8:53:23 AM110 trades$133,69274 min
10/10/2025, 8:58:54 AM2 trades$133,3900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
03-11
04-16
08-29
12-15
04-02
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 81.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M22.6 / H74.7